An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia

The performance of twenty GCMs that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Phase 5 (CMIP5) is evaluated at Sterling, Virginia, by comparing model outputs with radiosonde observational dataset and reanalysis dataset. We evaluated CMIP5 models in their ability to simulate wind climatology,...

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Main Authors: Sium Gebremariam, Belay Demoz, Churchill Okonkwo, Ricardo K. Sakai
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2016-01-01
Series:Advances in Meteorology
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2020379
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author Sium Gebremariam
Belay Demoz
Churchill Okonkwo
Ricardo K. Sakai
author_facet Sium Gebremariam
Belay Demoz
Churchill Okonkwo
Ricardo K. Sakai
author_sort Sium Gebremariam
collection DOAJ
description The performance of twenty GCMs that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Phase 5 (CMIP5) is evaluated at Sterling, Virginia, by comparing model outputs with radiosonde observational dataset and reanalysis dataset. We evaluated CMIP5 models in their ability to simulate wind climatology, seasonal cycle, interannual variability, and trends at the pressure levels from 850 hPa to 30 hPa. We also addressed the question of the number of years required to detect statistically significant wind trends using radiosonde wind measurements. Our results show that CMIP5 models and reanalysis successfully reproduced the observed climatological annual mean zonal wind and wind speed vertical distribution. They also capture the observed seasonal zonal, meridional, and wind speed vertical distribution with stronger (weaker) wind during the winter (summer) season. However, there is some disagreement in the magnitude of vertical profiles among CMIP5 models, reanalysis, and radiosonde observation. Overall, the number of years to obtain statistically significant trend decreases with increasing pressure level except for upper troposphere. Although the vertical profile of interannual variability of CMIP5 models and reanalysis agree with the radiosonde observation, the wind trend is not statistically significant. This indicates that detection of trends on local scale is challenging because of small signal-to-noise ratio problems.
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issn 1687-9309
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spelling doaj-art-9174d1beb9864fcb84bd6e3985b2135b2025-08-20T02:09:55ZengWileyAdvances in Meteorology1687-93091687-93172016-01-01201610.1155/2016/20203792020379An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, VirginiaSium Gebremariam0Belay Demoz1Churchill Okonkwo2Ricardo K. Sakai3Atmospheric Science Program, Beltsville Center for Climate System Observation, Howard University, 2355 6TH Street NW, Washington, DC 20059, USAAtmospheric Science Program, Beltsville Center for Climate System Observation, Howard University, 2355 6TH Street NW, Washington, DC 20059, USAAtmospheric Science Program, Beltsville Center for Climate System Observation, Howard University, 2355 6TH Street NW, Washington, DC 20059, USAAtmospheric Science Program, Beltsville Center for Climate System Observation, Howard University, 2355 6TH Street NW, Washington, DC 20059, USAThe performance of twenty GCMs that participated in the Coupled Model Intercomparison Phase 5 (CMIP5) is evaluated at Sterling, Virginia, by comparing model outputs with radiosonde observational dataset and reanalysis dataset. We evaluated CMIP5 models in their ability to simulate wind climatology, seasonal cycle, interannual variability, and trends at the pressure levels from 850 hPa to 30 hPa. We also addressed the question of the number of years required to detect statistically significant wind trends using radiosonde wind measurements. Our results show that CMIP5 models and reanalysis successfully reproduced the observed climatological annual mean zonal wind and wind speed vertical distribution. They also capture the observed seasonal zonal, meridional, and wind speed vertical distribution with stronger (weaker) wind during the winter (summer) season. However, there is some disagreement in the magnitude of vertical profiles among CMIP5 models, reanalysis, and radiosonde observation. Overall, the number of years to obtain statistically significant trend decreases with increasing pressure level except for upper troposphere. Although the vertical profile of interannual variability of CMIP5 models and reanalysis agree with the radiosonde observation, the wind trend is not statistically significant. This indicates that detection of trends on local scale is challenging because of small signal-to-noise ratio problems.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2020379
spellingShingle Sium Gebremariam
Belay Demoz
Churchill Okonkwo
Ricardo K. Sakai
An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia
Advances in Meteorology
title An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia
title_full An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia
title_fullStr An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia
title_full_unstemmed An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia
title_short An Observational and Model Characterization of Vertical Structure of Wind Fields over Eastern United States: A Case Study of Sterling, Virginia
title_sort observational and model characterization of vertical structure of wind fields over eastern united states a case study of sterling virginia
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2016/2020379
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