Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA

North Carolina (NC) ranks third among US states in both hog production and hurricanes. NC’s hogs are housed in concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs) in the eastern, hurricane-prone part of the state. Hurricanes can inundate hog waste lagoons, transporting fecal bacteria that may cause acute...

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Main Authors: Arbor J L Quist, Mike Dolan Fliss, David B Richardson, Paul L Delamater, Lawrence S Engel
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: IOP Publishing 2024-01-01
Series:Environmental Research: Health
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5309/ad9ecf
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author Arbor J L Quist
Mike Dolan Fliss
David B Richardson
Paul L Delamater
Lawrence S Engel
author_facet Arbor J L Quist
Mike Dolan Fliss
David B Richardson
Paul L Delamater
Lawrence S Engel
author_sort Arbor J L Quist
collection DOAJ
description North Carolina (NC) ranks third among US states in both hog production and hurricanes. NC’s hogs are housed in concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs) in the eastern, hurricane-prone part of the state. Hurricanes can inundate hog waste lagoons, transporting fecal bacteria that may cause acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI). While CAFOs and hurricanes have separately been associated with AGI, few epidemiological studies have examined the joint effect of hurricanes and CAFOs. We examined the impacts of Hurricanes Matthew (2016) and Florence (2018) on the occurrence of post-storm AGI in areas with varying numbers of hog and poultry CAFOs. We used ZIP code-level disease surveillance data, 2016–2019, to calculate rates of AGI emergency department (ED) visits in NC. Using precipitation data, CAFO permit data, and interrupted time series methods, we assessed the change in AGI rate during the three weeks after Matthew and Florence in ZIP codes with heavy rain (>75th percentile of storm precipitation) and 0, 1–10, and >10 hog CAFOs. The AGI ED rate in ZIP codes with heavy storm rain and >10 hog CAFOs increased 15% (RR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.27) during the three weeks after Hurricane Florence, although there was little increase after Hurricane Matthew (RR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.86, 1.24). The AGI ED rates in ZIP codes with heavy storm rain and no hog CAFOs exhibited no increase during these post-hurricane periods (Matthew: RR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.80, 1.14; Florence: RR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.13). We also observed an increase in AGI ED rate in areas with both >10 hog CAFOs and >10 poultry CAFOs. Areas with heavy hurricane precipitation and many CAFOs had a higher proportion of Black, American Indian, and Hispanic residents and lower annual household incomes than the state averages. Heavy hurricane precipitation in areas with CAFOs may increase AGI rates, disproportionately affecting people of color in NC.
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spelling doaj-art-915ccd2f5af345f09ab87547001ffc242025-01-03T11:02:51ZengIOP PublishingEnvironmental Research: Health2752-53092024-01-013101500510.1088/2752-5309/ad9ecfHurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USAArbor J L Quist0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5642-0237Mike Dolan Fliss1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3194-7171David B Richardson2Paul L Delamater3https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3627-9739Lawrence S Engel4https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9268-4830Division of Epidemiology, College of Public Health, The Ohio State University , Columbus, OH 43210, United States of AmericaInjury Prevention Research Center, University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill, NC 27514, United States of AmericaDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States of AmericaDepartment of Geography, University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill, NC 27514, United States of AmericaDepartment of Epidemiology, Gillings School of Global Public Health, University of North Carolina , Chapel Hill, NC 27599, United States of AmericaNorth Carolina (NC) ranks third among US states in both hog production and hurricanes. NC’s hogs are housed in concentrated animal feeding operations (CAFOs) in the eastern, hurricane-prone part of the state. Hurricanes can inundate hog waste lagoons, transporting fecal bacteria that may cause acute gastrointestinal illness (AGI). While CAFOs and hurricanes have separately been associated with AGI, few epidemiological studies have examined the joint effect of hurricanes and CAFOs. We examined the impacts of Hurricanes Matthew (2016) and Florence (2018) on the occurrence of post-storm AGI in areas with varying numbers of hog and poultry CAFOs. We used ZIP code-level disease surveillance data, 2016–2019, to calculate rates of AGI emergency department (ED) visits in NC. Using precipitation data, CAFO permit data, and interrupted time series methods, we assessed the change in AGI rate during the three weeks after Matthew and Florence in ZIP codes with heavy rain (>75th percentile of storm precipitation) and 0, 1–10, and >10 hog CAFOs. The AGI ED rate in ZIP codes with heavy storm rain and >10 hog CAFOs increased 15% (RR = 1.15, 95% CI: 1.04, 1.27) during the three weeks after Hurricane Florence, although there was little increase after Hurricane Matthew (RR = 1.05, 95% CI = 0.86, 1.24). The AGI ED rates in ZIP codes with heavy storm rain and no hog CAFOs exhibited no increase during these post-hurricane periods (Matthew: RR = 0.97, 95% CI: 0.80, 1.14; Florence: RR = 1.01, 95% CI: 0.89, 1.13). We also observed an increase in AGI ED rate in areas with both >10 hog CAFOs and >10 poultry CAFOs. Areas with heavy hurricane precipitation and many CAFOs had a higher proportion of Black, American Indian, and Hispanic residents and lower annual household incomes than the state averages. Heavy hurricane precipitation in areas with CAFOs may increase AGI rates, disproportionately affecting people of color in NC.https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5309/ad9ecfhurricanesCAFOsswinehog productiongastrointestinal illnessenvironmental justice
spellingShingle Arbor J L Quist
Mike Dolan Fliss
David B Richardson
Paul L Delamater
Lawrence S Engel
Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA
Environmental Research: Health
hurricanes
CAFOs
swine
hog production
gastrointestinal illness
environmental justice
title Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA
title_full Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA
title_fullStr Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA
title_full_unstemmed Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA
title_short Hurricanes, industrial animal operations, and acute gastrointestinal illness in North Carolina, USA
title_sort hurricanes industrial animal operations and acute gastrointestinal illness in north carolina usa
topic hurricanes
CAFOs
swine
hog production
gastrointestinal illness
environmental justice
url https://doi.org/10.1088/2752-5309/ad9ecf
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