Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score

Appropriate administration of anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment (AIIST) is important for patients with Graves’ orbitopathy (GO). This study aimed to clarify the incidence and risk factors for GO treated with AIIST and propose a predictive score, among newly diagnosed Graves’ disease...

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Main Authors: Natsuko Watanabe, Jaeduk Yoshimura Noh, Ai Kozaki, Ran Yoshimura, Ai Yoshihara, Nami Suzuki, Masako Matsumoto, Miho Fukushita, Aya Kinoshita, Azusa Aida, Hideyuki Imai, Shigenori Hiruma, Toshu Inoue, Kosuke Inoue, Kiminori Sugino, Koichi Ito
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: The Japan Endocrine Society 2023-11-01
Series:Endocrine Journal
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Online Access:https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/endocrj/70/11/70_EJ23-0079/_html/-char/en
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author Natsuko Watanabe
Jaeduk Yoshimura Noh
Ai Kozaki
Ran Yoshimura
Ai Yoshihara
Nami Suzuki
Masako Matsumoto
Miho Fukushita
Aya Kinoshita
Azusa Aida
Hideyuki Imai
Shigenori Hiruma
Toshu Inoue
Kosuke Inoue
Kiminori Sugino
Koichi Ito
author_facet Natsuko Watanabe
Jaeduk Yoshimura Noh
Ai Kozaki
Ran Yoshimura
Ai Yoshihara
Nami Suzuki
Masako Matsumoto
Miho Fukushita
Aya Kinoshita
Azusa Aida
Hideyuki Imai
Shigenori Hiruma
Toshu Inoue
Kosuke Inoue
Kiminori Sugino
Koichi Ito
author_sort Natsuko Watanabe
collection DOAJ
description Appropriate administration of anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment (AIIST) is important for patients with Graves’ orbitopathy (GO). This study aimed to clarify the incidence and risk factors for GO treated with AIIST and propose a predictive score, among newly diagnosed Graves’ disease (GD) patients in Japan. A total of 1,553 GD patients who were newly diagnosed during the year 2011 were investigated. AIIST included local and/or systemic glucocorticoid administration and retrobulbar irradiation. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate the risk factors for GO underwent AIIST during medical treatment, including at diagnosis, of GD. Then, a GO score was created by summing each point assigned to risk factors based on their coefficient obtained in the Cox model. AIIST was administered to 107 patients (6.9%). The risk factors and hazard ratios for GO underwent AIIST were: age (per 10 years), 1.32 (95% confidence interval: 1.16–1.50), p < 0.0001; TSH binding inhibitory immunoglobulin (TBII) (per 10 IU/L), 1.33 (1.15–1.54), p = 0.0001; and thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) negativity, 2.98 (1.96–4.59), p < 0.0001. The GO score, ranging from 0 to 8 points, showed moderate performance (area under the curve: 0.71, cut-off value: 5 points, sensitivity: 0.76, specificity: 0.59, positive predictive value: 0.12, negative predictive value: 0.97). AIIST was performed for patients with active manifestations of GO in 6.9% of newly diagnosed GD patients. The risk factors for GO underwent AIIST were higher age, higher TBII, and TgAb negativity. The GO score based on these factors may be useful in managing GO.
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spelling doaj-art-90d4d07978994afd933f8b45f5c2c7a12025-01-22T06:23:18ZengThe Japan Endocrine SocietyEndocrine Journal1348-45402023-11-0170111087109610.1507/endocrj.EJ23-0079endocrjIncidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive scoreNatsuko Watanabe0Jaeduk Yoshimura Noh1Ai Kozaki2Ran Yoshimura3Ai Yoshihara4Nami Suzuki5Masako Matsumoto6Miho Fukushita7Aya Kinoshita8Azusa Aida9Hideyuki Imai10Shigenori Hiruma11Toshu Inoue12Kosuke Inoue13Kiminori Sugino14Koichi Ito15Department of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanOlympia Eye Hospital, Tokyo 150-0001, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanOlympia Eye Hospital, Tokyo 150-0001, JapanDepartment of Internal Medicine, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Surgery, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanDepartment of Surgery, Ito Hospital, Tokyo 150-8308, JapanAppropriate administration of anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment (AIIST) is important for patients with Graves’ orbitopathy (GO). This study aimed to clarify the incidence and risk factors for GO treated with AIIST and propose a predictive score, among newly diagnosed Graves’ disease (GD) patients in Japan. A total of 1,553 GD patients who were newly diagnosed during the year 2011 were investigated. AIIST included local and/or systemic glucocorticoid administration and retrobulbar irradiation. A multivariable Cox proportional hazards model was used to investigate the risk factors for GO underwent AIIST during medical treatment, including at diagnosis, of GD. Then, a GO score was created by summing each point assigned to risk factors based on their coefficient obtained in the Cox model. AIIST was administered to 107 patients (6.9%). The risk factors and hazard ratios for GO underwent AIIST were: age (per 10 years), 1.32 (95% confidence interval: 1.16–1.50), p < 0.0001; TSH binding inhibitory immunoglobulin (TBII) (per 10 IU/L), 1.33 (1.15–1.54), p = 0.0001; and thyroglobulin antibody (TgAb) negativity, 2.98 (1.96–4.59), p < 0.0001. The GO score, ranging from 0 to 8 points, showed moderate performance (area under the curve: 0.71, cut-off value: 5 points, sensitivity: 0.76, specificity: 0.59, positive predictive value: 0.12, negative predictive value: 0.97). AIIST was performed for patients with active manifestations of GO in 6.9% of newly diagnosed GD patients. The risk factors for GO underwent AIIST were higher age, higher TBII, and TgAb negativity. The GO score based on these factors may be useful in managing GO.https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/endocrj/70/11/70_EJ23-0079/_html/-char/engraves’ orbitopathygraves’ diseasethyroid eye diseasetsh binding inhibitory immunoglobulinthyroglobulin antibody
spellingShingle Natsuko Watanabe
Jaeduk Yoshimura Noh
Ai Kozaki
Ran Yoshimura
Ai Yoshihara
Nami Suzuki
Masako Matsumoto
Miho Fukushita
Aya Kinoshita
Azusa Aida
Hideyuki Imai
Shigenori Hiruma
Toshu Inoue
Kosuke Inoue
Kiminori Sugino
Koichi Ito
Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score
Endocrine Journal
graves’ orbitopathy
graves’ disease
thyroid eye disease
tsh binding inhibitory immunoglobulin
thyroglobulin antibody
title Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score
title_full Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score
title_fullStr Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score
title_full_unstemmed Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score
title_short Incidence and risk factors for Graves’ orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti-inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for Graves’ disease: investigation of 1,553 cases with newly diagnosed Graves’ disease and proposal of a predictive score
title_sort incidence and risk factors for graves orbitopathy in patients who underwent anti inflammatory and immunosuppressive treatment during medical treatment for graves disease investigation of 1 553 cases with newly diagnosed graves disease and proposal of a predictive score
topic graves’ orbitopathy
graves’ disease
thyroid eye disease
tsh binding inhibitory immunoglobulin
thyroglobulin antibody
url https://www.jstage.jst.go.jp/article/endocrj/70/11/70_EJ23-0079/_html/-char/en
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