Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.

Climate change is projected to adversely affect agriculture worldwide. This requires farmers to adapt incrementally already early in the twenty-first century, and to pursue transformational adaptation to endure future climate-induced damages. Many articles discuss the underlying mechanisms of farmer...

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Main Authors: Sofia Gil-Clavel, Thorid Wagenblast, Tatiana Filatova
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318784
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author Sofia Gil-Clavel
Thorid Wagenblast
Tatiana Filatova
author_facet Sofia Gil-Clavel
Thorid Wagenblast
Tatiana Filatova
author_sort Sofia Gil-Clavel
collection DOAJ
description Climate change is projected to adversely affect agriculture worldwide. This requires farmers to adapt incrementally already early in the twenty-first century, and to pursue transformational adaptation to endure future climate-induced damages. Many articles discuss the underlying mechanisms of farmers' adaptation to climate change using quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods. However, only the former is typically included in quantitative metanalysis of empirical evidence on adaptation. This omits the vast body of knowledge from qualitative research. We address this gap by performing a comparative analysis of factors associated with farmers' climate change adaptation in both quantitative and qualitative literature using Natural Language Processing and generalized linear models. By retrieving publications from Scopus, we derive a database with metadata and associations from both quantitative and qualitative findings, focusing on climate change adaptation of farmers. We use the derived data as input for generalized linear models to analyze whether reported factors behind farmers' decisions differ by type of adaptation (incremental vs. transformational) and across different global regions. Our results show that factors related to adaptive capacity and access to information and technology are more likely to be associated with transformational adaptation than with incremental adaptation. Regarding world regions, access to finance/income and infrastructure are uneven, with farmers in high-income countries having an advantage, whereas farmers in low- and middle-income countries require these the most for effective adaptation to climate change.
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spelling doaj-art-90271b56d73e4e12b3173693ffc8ca1b2025-08-20T02:32:56ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01203e031878410.1371/journal.pone.0318784Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.Sofia Gil-ClavelThorid WagenblastTatiana FilatovaClimate change is projected to adversely affect agriculture worldwide. This requires farmers to adapt incrementally already early in the twenty-first century, and to pursue transformational adaptation to endure future climate-induced damages. Many articles discuss the underlying mechanisms of farmers' adaptation to climate change using quantitative, qualitative, and mixed methods. However, only the former is typically included in quantitative metanalysis of empirical evidence on adaptation. This omits the vast body of knowledge from qualitative research. We address this gap by performing a comparative analysis of factors associated with farmers' climate change adaptation in both quantitative and qualitative literature using Natural Language Processing and generalized linear models. By retrieving publications from Scopus, we derive a database with metadata and associations from both quantitative and qualitative findings, focusing on climate change adaptation of farmers. We use the derived data as input for generalized linear models to analyze whether reported factors behind farmers' decisions differ by type of adaptation (incremental vs. transformational) and across different global regions. Our results show that factors related to adaptive capacity and access to information and technology are more likely to be associated with transformational adaptation than with incremental adaptation. Regarding world regions, access to finance/income and infrastructure are uneven, with farmers in high-income countries having an advantage, whereas farmers in low- and middle-income countries require these the most for effective adaptation to climate change.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318784
spellingShingle Sofia Gil-Clavel
Thorid Wagenblast
Tatiana Filatova
Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
PLoS ONE
title Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
title_full Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
title_fullStr Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
title_full_unstemmed Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
title_short Incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide: A comparative analysis using natural language processing.
title_sort incremental and transformational climate change adaptation factors in agriculture worldwide a comparative analysis using natural language processing
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0318784
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AT tatianafilatova incrementalandtransformationalclimatechangeadaptationfactorsinagricultureworldwideacomparativeanalysisusingnaturallanguageprocessing