Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM

Offer preparation has always been a specific part of a building process which has significant impact on company business. Due to the fact that income greatly depends on offer’s precision and the balance between planned costs, both direct and overheads, and wished profit, it is necessary to prepare a...

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Main Authors: Igor Peško, Vladimir Mučenski, Miloš Šešlija, Nebojša Radović, Aleksandra Vujkov, Dragana Bibić, Milena Krklješ
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2017-01-01
Series:Complexity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/2450370
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author Igor Peško
Vladimir Mučenski
Miloš Šešlija
Nebojša Radović
Aleksandra Vujkov
Dragana Bibić
Milena Krklješ
author_facet Igor Peško
Vladimir Mučenski
Miloš Šešlija
Nebojša Radović
Aleksandra Vujkov
Dragana Bibić
Milena Krklješ
author_sort Igor Peško
collection DOAJ
description Offer preparation has always been a specific part of a building process which has significant impact on company business. Due to the fact that income greatly depends on offer’s precision and the balance between planned costs, both direct and overheads, and wished profit, it is necessary to prepare a precise offer within required time and available resources which are always insufficient. The paper presents a research of precision that can be achieved while using artificial intelligence for estimation of cost and duration in construction projects. Both artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector machines (SVM) are analysed and compared. The best SVM has shown higher precision, when estimating costs, with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 7.06% compared to the most precise ANNs which has achieved precision of 25.38%. Estimation of works duration has proved to be more difficult. The best MAPEs were 22.77% and 26.26% for SVM and ANN, respectively.
format Article
id doaj-art-8fa4eaa0119d4dd2ba8db5f6b41e0f19
institution Kabale University
issn 1076-2787
1099-0526
language English
publishDate 2017-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Complexity
spelling doaj-art-8fa4eaa0119d4dd2ba8db5f6b41e0f192025-02-03T05:44:40ZengWileyComplexity1076-27871099-05262017-01-01201710.1155/2017/24503702450370Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVMIgor Peško0Vladimir Mučenski1Miloš Šešlija2Nebojša Radović3Aleksandra Vujkov4Dragana Bibić5Milena Krklješ6University of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaUniversity of Novi Sad, Faculty of Technical Sciences, Trg Dositeja Obradovica 6, Novi Sad, SerbiaOffer preparation has always been a specific part of a building process which has significant impact on company business. Due to the fact that income greatly depends on offer’s precision and the balance between planned costs, both direct and overheads, and wished profit, it is necessary to prepare a precise offer within required time and available resources which are always insufficient. The paper presents a research of precision that can be achieved while using artificial intelligence for estimation of cost and duration in construction projects. Both artificial neural networks (ANNs) and support vector machines (SVM) are analysed and compared. The best SVM has shown higher precision, when estimating costs, with mean absolute percentage error (MAPE) of 7.06% compared to the most precise ANNs which has achieved precision of 25.38%. Estimation of works duration has proved to be more difficult. The best MAPEs were 22.77% and 26.26% for SVM and ANN, respectively.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/2450370
spellingShingle Igor Peško
Vladimir Mučenski
Miloš Šešlija
Nebojša Radović
Aleksandra Vujkov
Dragana Bibić
Milena Krklješ
Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM
Complexity
title Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM
title_full Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM
title_fullStr Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM
title_full_unstemmed Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM
title_short Estimation of Costs and Durations of Construction of Urban Roads Using ANN and SVM
title_sort estimation of costs and durations of construction of urban roads using ann and svm
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2017/2450370
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