Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain
Precise determination of the reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is vital to studying the hydrological cycle. In addition, it plays a significant role in properly managing and allocating water resources in agriculture. The objective of this research was to examine the effectiveness of five different...
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Faculty of Agriculture, Ankara University
2025-01-01
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| Series: | Journal of Agricultural Sciences |
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| Online Access: | https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3917755 |
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| author | Semin Topaloğlu Paksoy Deniz Levent Koç |
| author_facet | Semin Topaloğlu Paksoy Deniz Levent Koç |
| author_sort | Semin Topaloğlu Paksoy |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | Precise determination of the reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is vital to studying the hydrological cycle. In addition, it plays a significant role in properly managing and allocating water resources in agriculture. The objective of this research was to examine the effectiveness of five different data-driven techniques, including artificial neural networks "multilayer perceptron" (ANN), gene expression programming (GEP), random forest (RF), support vector machine "radial basis function" (SVM), and multiple linear regression (MLR) to model the daily ET0. These methods were also compared with Hargreaves-Samani (HS), Oudin, Ritchie, Makkink (MAK), and Jensen Haise (JH) empirical models and their calibrated versions. The empirical models JH and MAK performed better than the models HS and Oudin after being calibrated by linear regression. All data-driven methods with four inputs were superior to the original and calibrated empirical models. Generally, data-driven models provided increased accuracy and enhanced generalization in predicting daily reference evapotranspiration compared to empirical models. The RF and ANN methods generally demonstrated better estimation accuracy than other data-driven methods. The performance of the RF and ANN models that utilized Tmax, Tmin, and Rs inputs, as well as those that incorporated Tmax, Tmin, Rs, and U2 inputs, proved to be superior to their corresponding MLR-based and GEP-based models for predicting ET0 in the Adana plain, which is characterized by a Mediterranean climate. Nevertheless, the GEP and MLR methods have the advantage of utilizing explicit algebraic equations, making them more convenient to apply, especially in the context of agricultural irrigation practices. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-8eebf07f51fd4f0d9e8943000ed78290 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1300-7580 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-01-01 |
| publisher | Faculty of Agriculture, Ankara University |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Journal of Agricultural Sciences |
| spelling | doaj-art-8eebf07f51fd4f0d9e8943000ed782902025-01-31T10:57:51ZengFaculty of Agriculture, Ankara UniversityJournal of Agricultural Sciences1300-75802025-01-0131120722910.15832/ankutbd.148120745Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plainSemin Topaloğlu Paksoy0https://orcid.org/0000-0003-1693-0184Deniz Levent Koç1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-4495-3060ÇUKUROVA ÜNİVERSİTESİ, İKTİSADİ VE İDARİ BİLİMLER FAKÜLTESİ, EKONOMETRİ BÖLÜMÜ, EKONOMETRİ PR.ÇUKUROVA ÜNİVERSİTESİ, ZİRAAT FAKÜLTESİ, TARIMSAL YAPILAR VE SULAMA BÖLÜMÜPrecise determination of the reference evapotranspiration (ET0) is vital to studying the hydrological cycle. In addition, it plays a significant role in properly managing and allocating water resources in agriculture. The objective of this research was to examine the effectiveness of five different data-driven techniques, including artificial neural networks "multilayer perceptron" (ANN), gene expression programming (GEP), random forest (RF), support vector machine "radial basis function" (SVM), and multiple linear regression (MLR) to model the daily ET0. These methods were also compared with Hargreaves-Samani (HS), Oudin, Ritchie, Makkink (MAK), and Jensen Haise (JH) empirical models and their calibrated versions. The empirical models JH and MAK performed better than the models HS and Oudin after being calibrated by linear regression. All data-driven methods with four inputs were superior to the original and calibrated empirical models. Generally, data-driven models provided increased accuracy and enhanced generalization in predicting daily reference evapotranspiration compared to empirical models. The RF and ANN methods generally demonstrated better estimation accuracy than other data-driven methods. The performance of the RF and ANN models that utilized Tmax, Tmin, and Rs inputs, as well as those that incorporated Tmax, Tmin, Rs, and U2 inputs, proved to be superior to their corresponding MLR-based and GEP-based models for predicting ET0 in the Adana plain, which is characterized by a Mediterranean climate. Nevertheless, the GEP and MLR methods have the advantage of utilizing explicit algebraic equations, making them more convenient to apply, especially in the context of agricultural irrigation practices.https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3917755reference evapotranspirationdata-driven approachesempirical modelscalibrationadana plain |
| spellingShingle | Semin Topaloğlu Paksoy Deniz Levent Koç Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain Journal of Agricultural Sciences reference evapotranspiration data-driven approaches empirical models calibration adana plain |
| title | Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain |
| title_full | Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain |
| title_fullStr | Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain |
| title_full_unstemmed | Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain |
| title_short | Daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data-driven approaches: A case study of Adana plain |
| title_sort | daily reference evapotranspiration prediction using empirical and data driven approaches a case study of adana plain |
| topic | reference evapotranspiration data-driven approaches empirical models calibration adana plain |
| url | https://dergipark.org.tr/en/download/article-file/3917755 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT semintopaloglupaksoy dailyreferenceevapotranspirationpredictionusingempiricalanddatadrivenapproachesacasestudyofadanaplain AT denizleventkoc dailyreferenceevapotranspirationpredictionusingempiricalanddatadrivenapproachesacasestudyofadanaplain |