Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age

Abstract Fluctuations in body weight may impact cognitive decline, but current evidence is inconclusive. The aim of this study is to investigate associations between body weight trajectories from midlife to later life and cognitive decline. This retrospective study analyzed harmonized data from two...

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Main Authors: Chiara Ceolin, Federica Prinelli, Caterina Trevisan, Adele Ravelli, Silvia Conti, Lorraine Brennan, Lisette C. P. G. M. de Groot, Claire T. McEvoy, Stefania Maggi, Giuseppe Sergi, Marianna Noale, the PROMED-COG Consortium
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Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08725-5
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author Chiara Ceolin
Federica Prinelli
Caterina Trevisan
Adele Ravelli
Silvia Conti
Lorraine Brennan
Lisette C. P. G. M. de Groot
Claire T. McEvoy
Stefania Maggi
Giuseppe Sergi
Marianna Noale
the PROMED-COG Consortium
author_facet Chiara Ceolin
Federica Prinelli
Caterina Trevisan
Adele Ravelli
Silvia Conti
Lorraine Brennan
Lisette C. P. G. M. de Groot
Claire T. McEvoy
Stefania Maggi
Giuseppe Sergi
Marianna Noale
the PROMED-COG Consortium
author_sort Chiara Ceolin
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Fluctuations in body weight may impact cognitive decline, but current evidence is inconclusive. The aim of this study is to investigate associations between body weight trajectories from midlife to later life and cognitive decline. This retrospective study analyzed harmonized data from two population-based longitudinal studies, the Progetto Veneto Anziani and the Italian Longitudinal Study of Aging, encompassing baseline and two follow-up assessments over 9 years. Weight changes were recorded from baseline to the last available follow-up or from 50 years (self-reported data) to the last available follow-up. Cognitive function was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), and cognitive decline was defined as experiencing a MMSE change from baseline to the follow-up within the lowest quartile of the change distribution in the total sample. In a sample of 3852 individuals (46% females, age 65–96 years at baseline), we investigated the impact of weight change on cognitive decline with two sets of analyses. First, using weight measurements obtained during old age, growth mixture modelling identified three weight trajectories: decreasing, stable, and increasing. None of these trajectories was significantly associated with cognitive decline. Second, we considered weight at age 50 as the baseline assessment to capture weight changes from midlife. Among the three trajectories detected (increasing, stable, and decreasing), the decreasing trajectory was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of cognitive decline in males (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.06–1.94) and females (HR = 1.37, 95%CI 1.23–1.67), whereas the increasing trajectory was associated with cognitive decline only in females (HR = 1.33, 95%CI 1.01–1.76). These results suggest that changes in body weight from middle to older age are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age. Since body weight is influenced by multiple factors, a broader assessment of health—including metabolic, vascular, behavioral, and social dimensions—should be considered in both research and clinical settings.
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spelling doaj-art-8e356994e2064a359d80c3b080c8eb622025-08-20T03:03:33ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-07-0115111510.1038/s41598-025-08725-5Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced ageChiara Ceolin0Federica Prinelli1Caterina Trevisan2Adele Ravelli3Silvia Conti4Lorraine Brennan5Lisette C. P. G. M. de Groot6Claire T. McEvoy7Stefania Maggi8Giuseppe Sergi9Marianna Noale10the PROMED-COG ConsortiumGeriatric Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Padova (UNIPD)Institute of Biomedical Technologies, National Research Council (CNR)Geriatric Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Padova (UNIPD)Geriatric Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Padova (UNIPD)Institute of Biomedical Technologies, National Research Council (CNR)School of Agriculture and Food Science, Institute of Food and Health and Conway Institute, University College DublinDivision of Human Nutrition, Wageningen UniversityCentre for Public Health, Queen’s University BelfastNeuroscience Institute, Aging Branch, National Research Council (CNR)Geriatric Unit, Department of Medicine, University of Padova (UNIPD)Neuroscience Institute, Aging Branch, National Research Council (CNR)Abstract Fluctuations in body weight may impact cognitive decline, but current evidence is inconclusive. The aim of this study is to investigate associations between body weight trajectories from midlife to later life and cognitive decline. This retrospective study analyzed harmonized data from two population-based longitudinal studies, the Progetto Veneto Anziani and the Italian Longitudinal Study of Aging, encompassing baseline and two follow-up assessments over 9 years. Weight changes were recorded from baseline to the last available follow-up or from 50 years (self-reported data) to the last available follow-up. Cognitive function was assessed using the Mini-Mental State Examination (MMSE), and cognitive decline was defined as experiencing a MMSE change from baseline to the follow-up within the lowest quartile of the change distribution in the total sample. In a sample of 3852 individuals (46% females, age 65–96 years at baseline), we investigated the impact of weight change on cognitive decline with two sets of analyses. First, using weight measurements obtained during old age, growth mixture modelling identified three weight trajectories: decreasing, stable, and increasing. None of these trajectories was significantly associated with cognitive decline. Second, we considered weight at age 50 as the baseline assessment to capture weight changes from midlife. Among the three trajectories detected (increasing, stable, and decreasing), the decreasing trajectory was significantly associated with a higher likelihood of cognitive decline in males (HR 1.44, 95% CI 1.06–1.94) and females (HR = 1.37, 95%CI 1.23–1.67), whereas the increasing trajectory was associated with cognitive decline only in females (HR = 1.33, 95%CI 1.01–1.76). These results suggest that changes in body weight from middle to older age are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age. Since body weight is influenced by multiple factors, a broader assessment of health—including metabolic, vascular, behavioral, and social dimensions—should be considered in both research and clinical settings.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08725-5Pooled cohortsTrajectories analysisBody weightCognitive declineDementia
spellingShingle Chiara Ceolin
Federica Prinelli
Caterina Trevisan
Adele Ravelli
Silvia Conti
Lorraine Brennan
Lisette C. P. G. M. de Groot
Claire T. McEvoy
Stefania Maggi
Giuseppe Sergi
Marianna Noale
the PROMED-COG Consortium
Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
Scientific Reports
Pooled cohorts
Trajectories analysis
Body weight
Cognitive decline
Dementia
title Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
title_full Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
title_fullStr Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
title_full_unstemmed Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
title_short Body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
title_sort body weight trajectories from midlife are associated with cognitive decline in advanced age
topic Pooled cohorts
Trajectories analysis
Body weight
Cognitive decline
Dementia
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-08725-5
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