Gaussian processes enabled model calibration in the context of deep geological disposal

Deep geological repositories are critical for the long-term storage of hazardous materials, where understanding the mechanical behavior of emplacement drifts is essential for safety assurance. This study presents a surrogate modeling approach for the mechanical response of emplacement drifts in rock...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Lennart Paul, Jorge-Humberto Urrea-Quintero, Umer Fiaz, Ali Hussein, Hazem Yaghi, Joachim Stahlmann, Ulrich Römer, Henning Wessels
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2025-01-01
Series:Data-Centric Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673625000176/type/journal_article
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Summary:Deep geological repositories are critical for the long-term storage of hazardous materials, where understanding the mechanical behavior of emplacement drifts is essential for safety assurance. This study presents a surrogate modeling approach for the mechanical response of emplacement drifts in rock salt formations, utilizing Gaussian processes (GPs). The surrogate model serves as an efficient substitute for high-fidelity mechanical simulations in many-query scenarios, including time-dependent sensitivity analyses and calibration tasks. By significantly reducing computational demands, this approach facilitates faster design iterations and enhances the interpretation of monitoring data. The findings indicate that only a few key parameters are sufficient to accurately reflect in-situ conditions in complex rock salt models. Identifying these parameters is crucial for ensuring the reliability and safety of deep geological disposal systems.
ISSN:2632-6736