Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study

Abstract Background Bone metastasis of prostate cancer (PCa) is a challenging problem, leading to poor prognosis of patients. Existing biomarkers have limited sensitivity and specificity. Therefore, we urgently need a novel diagnostic tool to predict PCa bone metastasis. Methods Patient data and blo...

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Main Authors: Chao Wang, Xu-Pan Wei, Chuan Zhou, Jia Wang, Yun-Feng Zhang, Han He, Wen-Bo Zhang, Hao-Xuan Lv, Fang Wang, Feng-Hai Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-06-01
Series:Journal of Translational Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-025-06691-0
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author Chao Wang
Xu-Pan Wei
Chuan Zhou
Jia Wang
Yun-Feng Zhang
Han He
Wen-Bo Zhang
Hao-Xuan Lv
Fang Wang
Feng-Hai Zhou
author_facet Chao Wang
Xu-Pan Wei
Chuan Zhou
Jia Wang
Yun-Feng Zhang
Han He
Wen-Bo Zhang
Hao-Xuan Lv
Fang Wang
Feng-Hai Zhou
author_sort Chao Wang
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Bone metastasis of prostate cancer (PCa) is a challenging problem, leading to poor prognosis of patients. Existing biomarkers have limited sensitivity and specificity. Therefore, we urgently need a novel diagnostic tool to predict PCa bone metastasis. Methods Patient data and blood samples were collected according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. logistic regression analysis was used to screen clinical indicators and miRNAs, and radiomics was used to construct a prediction model. Finally, the performance of the model was evaluated by internal verification, external verification and Delong test. Two nomograms were successfully established by analyzing clinical data, plasma miRNAs and imaging data. Nomogram 1 predicts the presence or absence of bone metastasis; Nomogram 2 predicts whether the number of bone metastases is ≥ 4. Results Nomogram 1 constructed by tPSA, hsa-miR-548o-3p and radiomics had an AUC of 0.904. The AUC of the internal training set was 0.879, the internal test set was 0.956, and the AUC of the external data set was 0.877. The calibration curve and decision curve all performed well. Nomogram 2 constructed by ALP, hsa-miR-548o-3p and radiomics had an AUC of 0.849, with an AUC of 0.916 in the internal training set, 0.806 in the internal test set and 0.839 in the external data set. The calibration curve and decision curve showed good performance. Conclusions The combination of plasma exosomal miRNA and radiomics model has high reliability and accuracy in predicting the presence and number of bone metastases of PCa.
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spelling doaj-art-8d072f4cb38b456eb7cd235ba42567c92025-08-20T03:22:54ZengBMCJournal of Translational Medicine1479-58762025-06-0123111510.1186/s12967-025-06691-0Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center studyChao Wang0Xu-Pan Wei1Chuan Zhou2Jia Wang3Yun-Feng Zhang4Han He5Wen-Bo Zhang6Hao-Xuan Lv7Fang Wang8Feng-Hai Zhou9The First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou UniversityDepartment of Urology, Liaocheng People’s Hospital, Liaocheng Hospital Affiliated to Shandong First Medical UniversityThe First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou UniversityThe First Clinical Medical College of Gansu University of Chinese MedicineThe First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou UniversityThe First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou UniversityThe First Clinical Medical College of Gansu University of Chinese MedicineThe First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou UniversityMedical Experimental Center of Lanzhou UniversityThe First Clinical Medical College of Lanzhou UniversityAbstract Background Bone metastasis of prostate cancer (PCa) is a challenging problem, leading to poor prognosis of patients. Existing biomarkers have limited sensitivity and specificity. Therefore, we urgently need a novel diagnostic tool to predict PCa bone metastasis. Methods Patient data and blood samples were collected according to the inclusion and exclusion criteria. logistic regression analysis was used to screen clinical indicators and miRNAs, and radiomics was used to construct a prediction model. Finally, the performance of the model was evaluated by internal verification, external verification and Delong test. Two nomograms were successfully established by analyzing clinical data, plasma miRNAs and imaging data. Nomogram 1 predicts the presence or absence of bone metastasis; Nomogram 2 predicts whether the number of bone metastases is ≥ 4. Results Nomogram 1 constructed by tPSA, hsa-miR-548o-3p and radiomics had an AUC of 0.904. The AUC of the internal training set was 0.879, the internal test set was 0.956, and the AUC of the external data set was 0.877. The calibration curve and decision curve all performed well. Nomogram 2 constructed by ALP, hsa-miR-548o-3p and radiomics had an AUC of 0.849, with an AUC of 0.916 in the internal training set, 0.806 in the internal test set and 0.839 in the external data set. The calibration curve and decision curve showed good performance. Conclusions The combination of plasma exosomal miRNA and radiomics model has high reliability and accuracy in predicting the presence and number of bone metastases of PCa.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-025-06691-0PCamiRNAsRadiomicsExosomesBiomarkers
spellingShingle Chao Wang
Xu-Pan Wei
Chuan Zhou
Jia Wang
Yun-Feng Zhang
Han He
Wen-Bo Zhang
Hao-Xuan Lv
Fang Wang
Feng-Hai Zhou
Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study
Journal of Translational Medicine
PCa
miRNAs
Radiomics
Exosomes
Biomarkers
title Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study
title_full Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study
title_fullStr Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study
title_full_unstemmed Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study
title_short Precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics: a multi-center study
title_sort precise prediction of bone metastases and metastatic burden using exosomal mirnas and radiomics a multi center study
topic PCa
miRNAs
Radiomics
Exosomes
Biomarkers
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12967-025-06691-0
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