MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery

Abstract Objective: To establish and validate a comprehensive predictive model combining clinical data and radiomics features to improve the accuracy of predicting recurrence within five years after surgery in patients with non-functioning pituitary macroadenomas (NFMA). Methods: This retrospective...

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Main Authors: Ji-ping Zhao, Xue-jun Liu, Hao-zhi Lin, Chun-xiao Cui, Ying-jie Yue, Song Gao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-04-01
Series:Scientific Reports
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89907-z
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author Ji-ping Zhao
Xue-jun Liu
Hao-zhi Lin
Chun-xiao Cui
Ying-jie Yue
Song Gao
author_facet Ji-ping Zhao
Xue-jun Liu
Hao-zhi Lin
Chun-xiao Cui
Ying-jie Yue
Song Gao
author_sort Ji-ping Zhao
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Objective: To establish and validate a comprehensive predictive model combining clinical data and radiomics features to improve the accuracy of predicting recurrence within five years after surgery in patients with non-functioning pituitary macroadenomas (NFMA). Methods: This retrospective study included 292 NFMA patients who underwent surgery between January 2012 and January 2018, with an additional 123 patients as an external test set. Clinical, pathological, and conventional imaging features were collected and analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression to identify independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence. Radiomic features were extracted from preoperative T1-weighted (T1WI), T2-weighted (T2WI), and T1-enhanced images using 3D Slicer software. A radiomics prediction model was developed, and a combined model integrating clinical and radiomics features was established. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The clinical model (Cli-score), radiomics model (Rad-score) and combined model were developed. The diagnostic performance of the clinical model in the external test set, showed an AUC of 0.757 (95%CI: 0.671–0.830), with SEN, SPE, and ACC of 82.5%, 59.04%, and 71.54%, respectively. The diagnostic performance of the radiomics model in the external test set showed an AUC of 0.835 (95% CI: 0.757–0.896), with 80%, 79.52% and 63.41% for SEN, SPE and ACC%, respectively. The diagnostic performance of the combined model in the external test set showed an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI: 0.790–0.919), with SEN, SPE, and ACC of 80%, 81.93%, and 68.30%, respectively. The calibration curve indicated good predictive performance, and DCA confirmed the high clinical utility of the combined model. Conclusion: The combined model provides a more accurate prediction of NFMA recurrence. This model can guide postoperative follow-up strategies and aid in early initiation of adjuvant therapy for high-risk patients.
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spelling doaj-art-8c9cb30a47884c61a5da2da3fa1fac1e2025-08-20T02:27:53ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-04-0115112210.1038/s41598-025-89907-zMRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgeryJi-ping Zhao0Xue-jun Liu1Hao-zhi Lin2Chun-xiao Cui3Ying-jie Yue4Song Gao5Department of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao UniversityDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao UniversityDepartment of Stomatology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao UniversityDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao UniversityDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao UniversityDepartment of Radiology, The Affiliated Hospital of Qingdao UniversityAbstract Objective: To establish and validate a comprehensive predictive model combining clinical data and radiomics features to improve the accuracy of predicting recurrence within five years after surgery in patients with non-functioning pituitary macroadenomas (NFMA). Methods: This retrospective study included 292 NFMA patients who underwent surgery between January 2012 and January 2018, with an additional 123 patients as an external test set. Clinical, pathological, and conventional imaging features were collected and analyzed using univariate and multivariate logistic regression to identify independent risk factors for postoperative recurrence. Radiomic features were extracted from preoperative T1-weighted (T1WI), T2-weighted (T2WI), and T1-enhanced images using 3D Slicer software. A radiomics prediction model was developed, and a combined model integrating clinical and radiomics features was established. The predictive performance of the models was evaluated using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Results: The clinical model (Cli-score), radiomics model (Rad-score) and combined model were developed. The diagnostic performance of the clinical model in the external test set, showed an AUC of 0.757 (95%CI: 0.671–0.830), with SEN, SPE, and ACC of 82.5%, 59.04%, and 71.54%, respectively. The diagnostic performance of the radiomics model in the external test set showed an AUC of 0.835 (95% CI: 0.757–0.896), with 80%, 79.52% and 63.41% for SEN, SPE and ACC%, respectively. The diagnostic performance of the combined model in the external test set showed an AUC of 0.863 (95% CI: 0.790–0.919), with SEN, SPE, and ACC of 80%, 81.93%, and 68.30%, respectively. The calibration curve indicated good predictive performance, and DCA confirmed the high clinical utility of the combined model. Conclusion: The combined model provides a more accurate prediction of NFMA recurrence. This model can guide postoperative follow-up strategies and aid in early initiation of adjuvant therapy for high-risk patients.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89907-zPituitaryAdenomaMRIRadiomicsRecurrence
spellingShingle Ji-ping Zhao
Xue-jun Liu
Hao-zhi Lin
Chun-xiao Cui
Ying-jie Yue
Song Gao
MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
Scientific Reports
Pituitary
Adenoma
MRI
Radiomics
Recurrence
title MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
title_full MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
title_fullStr MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
title_full_unstemmed MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
title_short MRI based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
title_sort mri based radiomics nomogram for predict recurrence of non functioning pituitary macroadenomas post surgery
topic Pituitary
Adenoma
MRI
Radiomics
Recurrence
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-025-89907-z
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