Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden

Abstract Background Many studies have found more severe COVID-19 outcomes in migrants and ethnic minorities throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, while recent evidence also suggests higher risk of longer-term consequences. We studied the risk of a long COVID diagnosis among adult residents in Sweden, de...

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Main Authors: Agneta Cederström, George Frederick Mkoma, Thomas Benfield, Charles Agyemang, Marie Nørredam, Mikael Rostila
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMC 2025-01-01
Series:BMC Medicine
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Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-025-03900-x
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author Agneta Cederström
George Frederick Mkoma
Thomas Benfield
Charles Agyemang
Marie Nørredam
Mikael Rostila
author_facet Agneta Cederström
George Frederick Mkoma
Thomas Benfield
Charles Agyemang
Marie Nørredam
Mikael Rostila
author_sort Agneta Cederström
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Background Many studies have found more severe COVID-19 outcomes in migrants and ethnic minorities throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, while recent evidence also suggests higher risk of longer-term consequences. We studied the risk of a long COVID diagnosis among adult residents in Sweden, dependent on country of birth and accounting for known risk factors for long COVID. Methods We used linked Swedish administrative registers between March 1, 2020 and April 1, 2023, to estimate the risk of a long COVID diagnosis in the adult population that had a confirmed COVID-19 infection. Poisson regressions were used to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRR) of long COVID by country/region of birth. The contribution of sex, preexisting health status, disease severity, vaccination status, and socioeconomic factors to differences in long COVID diagnosis by country/region of birth were further investigated. Results Of the 1,869,188 persons diagnosed with COVID-19 that were included, 7539 had received a long COVID diagnosis. Compared with residents born in Sweden, we found higher risks of long COVID among migrants from East Europe (IRR: 1.44 CI: 1.29–1.60), Finland (IRR: 1.36 CI: 1.15–1.61), South Asia (IRR: 1.28 CI: 1.03–1.59), Other Asia (IRR: 1.35 CI: 1.13–1.62), Other Africa (IRR: 1.48 CI: 1.17–1.87), and the Middle East (IRR: 1.43 CI: 1.27–1.63) in models adjusted for age and sex. We discovered that disease severity, i.e., whether the person was hospitalized (IRR: 18.6 CI: 17.3–20.0) or treated in an intensive care unit (IRR: 120.5 CI: 111.7–129.8), primarily contributed to the higher risk of long COVID found in migrants while the contribution of vaccinations and social conditions were moderate. Preexisting health problems did not contribute to the increased risk of long COVID in migrants. Conclusions The greater exposure and impact of the COVID-19 virus among migrants also affected longer-term consequences. Disease severity was the most important risk factor for long COVID in migrants. The findings emphasize the need for targeted health interventions for migrant communities during an infectious disease pandemic, such as strategic vaccination campaigns and extending social insurance schemes, focusing on reducing disease severity to mitigate the longer-term health consequences of an infection.
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spelling doaj-art-8c65c769f62b4d3abb29043ffdf8ddc42025-02-02T12:28:18ZengBMCBMC Medicine1741-70152025-01-0123111010.1186/s12916-025-03900-xLong COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from SwedenAgneta Cederström0George Frederick Mkoma1Thomas Benfield2Charles Agyemang3Marie Nørredam4Mikael Rostila5Department of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm UniversityDepartment of Epidemiology Research, Statens Serum InstitutDepartment of Infectious Diseases, Copenhagen University Hospital-Amager and HvidovreDepartment of Public and Occupational Health, Amsterdam Public Health Research Institute, Amsterdam UMC, University of AmsterdamDanish Research Centre for Migration, Ethnicity and Health, Section of Health Services Research, Department of Public Health, University of CopenhagenDepartment of Public Health Sciences, Stockholm UniversityAbstract Background Many studies have found more severe COVID-19 outcomes in migrants and ethnic minorities throughout the COVID-19 pandemic, while recent evidence also suggests higher risk of longer-term consequences. We studied the risk of a long COVID diagnosis among adult residents in Sweden, dependent on country of birth and accounting for known risk factors for long COVID. Methods We used linked Swedish administrative registers between March 1, 2020 and April 1, 2023, to estimate the risk of a long COVID diagnosis in the adult population that had a confirmed COVID-19 infection. Poisson regressions were used to calculate incidence rate ratios (IRR) of long COVID by country/region of birth. The contribution of sex, preexisting health status, disease severity, vaccination status, and socioeconomic factors to differences in long COVID diagnosis by country/region of birth were further investigated. Results Of the 1,869,188 persons diagnosed with COVID-19 that were included, 7539 had received a long COVID diagnosis. Compared with residents born in Sweden, we found higher risks of long COVID among migrants from East Europe (IRR: 1.44 CI: 1.29–1.60), Finland (IRR: 1.36 CI: 1.15–1.61), South Asia (IRR: 1.28 CI: 1.03–1.59), Other Asia (IRR: 1.35 CI: 1.13–1.62), Other Africa (IRR: 1.48 CI: 1.17–1.87), and the Middle East (IRR: 1.43 CI: 1.27–1.63) in models adjusted for age and sex. We discovered that disease severity, i.e., whether the person was hospitalized (IRR: 18.6 CI: 17.3–20.0) or treated in an intensive care unit (IRR: 120.5 CI: 111.7–129.8), primarily contributed to the higher risk of long COVID found in migrants while the contribution of vaccinations and social conditions were moderate. Preexisting health problems did not contribute to the increased risk of long COVID in migrants. Conclusions The greater exposure and impact of the COVID-19 virus among migrants also affected longer-term consequences. Disease severity was the most important risk factor for long COVID in migrants. The findings emphasize the need for targeted health interventions for migrant communities during an infectious disease pandemic, such as strategic vaccination campaigns and extending social insurance schemes, focusing on reducing disease severity to mitigate the longer-term health consequences of an infection.https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-025-03900-xLong COVIDMigrant healthDisease severityVaccinationSocioeconomic status
spellingShingle Agneta Cederström
George Frederick Mkoma
Thomas Benfield
Charles Agyemang
Marie Nørredam
Mikael Rostila
Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden
BMC Medicine
Long COVID
Migrant health
Disease severity
Vaccination
Socioeconomic status
title Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden
title_full Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden
title_fullStr Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden
title_full_unstemmed Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden
title_short Long COVID and its risk factors in migrants: a nationwide register study from Sweden
title_sort long covid and its risk factors in migrants a nationwide register study from sweden
topic Long COVID
Migrant health
Disease severity
Vaccination
Socioeconomic status
url https://doi.org/10.1186/s12916-025-03900-x
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