Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory

The core purpose of this paper was to analyze the trend analysis of Pakistan railways from the year 1950 to 2015, using the principal component analysis method and industrial life cycle theory. Industrial life cycle theory, the development trend analysis of Pakistan railway industry, entails four st...

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Main Authors: Li Xuemei, Khalid Mehmood Alam, Shitong Wang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2670346
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author Li Xuemei
Khalid Mehmood Alam
Shitong Wang
author_facet Li Xuemei
Khalid Mehmood Alam
Shitong Wang
author_sort Li Xuemei
collection DOAJ
description The core purpose of this paper was to analyze the trend analysis of Pakistan railways from the year 1950 to 2015, using the principal component analysis method and industrial life cycle theory. Industrial life cycle theory, the development trend analysis of Pakistan railway industry, entails four stages: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. The results indicated that railway industry in Pakistan was at its pinnacle in the middle of the seventies and thereafter the decline of railway industry was observed. The main reasons behind the decline were underinvestment, political interference, and the rise of the same-sector competitor, the National Logistics Cell (NLC). From the year 2011, it experienced an upward trend of combined utility curve and showed a new round of industry life cycle. To revive its previous glory, the current government has proposed a development document for Pakistan railways, Vision 2025. It is envisaged that railways share in transportation will be increased from current 4% to 20% by the year 2025, which seems to be an onerous challenge for the organization.
format Article
id doaj-art-8b5ae4363c77413d9ae08066ecb0ffe2
institution Kabale University
issn 0197-6729
2042-3195
language English
publishDate 2018-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-8b5ae4363c77413d9ae08066ecb0ffe22025-02-03T06:05:56ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation0197-67292042-31952018-01-01201810.1155/2018/26703462670346Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle TheoryLi Xuemei0Khalid Mehmood Alam1Shitong Wang2School of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaSchool of Economics and Management, Beijing Jiaotong University, Beijing 100044, ChinaThe core purpose of this paper was to analyze the trend analysis of Pakistan railways from the year 1950 to 2015, using the principal component analysis method and industrial life cycle theory. Industrial life cycle theory, the development trend analysis of Pakistan railway industry, entails four stages: introduction, growth, maturity, and decline. The results indicated that railway industry in Pakistan was at its pinnacle in the middle of the seventies and thereafter the decline of railway industry was observed. The main reasons behind the decline were underinvestment, political interference, and the rise of the same-sector competitor, the National Logistics Cell (NLC). From the year 2011, it experienced an upward trend of combined utility curve and showed a new round of industry life cycle. To revive its previous glory, the current government has proposed a development document for Pakistan railways, Vision 2025. It is envisaged that railways share in transportation will be increased from current 4% to 20% by the year 2025, which seems to be an onerous challenge for the organization.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2670346
spellingShingle Li Xuemei
Khalid Mehmood Alam
Shitong Wang
Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory
title_full Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory
title_fullStr Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory
title_full_unstemmed Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory
title_short Trend Analysis of Pakistan Railways Based on Industry Life Cycle Theory
title_sort trend analysis of pakistan railways based on industry life cycle theory
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2018/2670346
work_keys_str_mv AT lixuemei trendanalysisofpakistanrailwaysbasedonindustrylifecycletheory
AT khalidmehmoodalam trendanalysisofpakistanrailwaysbasedonindustrylifecycletheory
AT shitongwang trendanalysisofpakistanrailwaysbasedonindustrylifecycletheory