Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework

Abstract Air quality forecasting plays a pivotal role in environmental management, public health and urban planning. This research presents a comprehensive approach for forecasting the Air Quality Index (AQI). The proposed Time-Based-Spatial (TBS) forecasting framework is integrated with spatial and...

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Main Authors: Shrikar Jayaraman, Nathezhtha T, Abirami S, Sakthivel G
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-02-01
Series:Scientific Reports
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83248-z
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author Shrikar Jayaraman
Nathezhtha T
Abirami S
Sakthivel G
author_facet Shrikar Jayaraman
Nathezhtha T
Abirami S
Sakthivel G
author_sort Shrikar Jayaraman
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Air quality forecasting plays a pivotal role in environmental management, public health and urban planning. This research presents a comprehensive approach for forecasting the Air Quality Index (AQI). The proposed Time-Based-Spatial (TBS) forecasting framework is integrated with spatial and temporal information using machine learning techniques on data collected from a wide range of cities. The TBS employs Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to capture spatial dependencies based on normalized latitude and longitude coordinates of the cities. Simultaneously, time series model, specifically the ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) was employed to capture temporal dependencies using pollutant concentration readings over time. The dataset included information such as date, time, pollutant concentrations and AQI was further preprocessed and divided into training and testing sets. The CNN was configured to utilize the normalized latitude and longitude grid, while the ARIMA model concurrently processed the pollutant concentrations. The model was trained on the training dataset, and a 6 hour forecast is generated for each test instance. The outcomes demonstrate the TBS model’s ability to accurately predict AQI values. The integration of CNNs and time series model allowed for an clearer and deeper understanding of geographical and pollutant concentration factors that contribute to air quality variations.
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spelling doaj-art-89ba07ebdc044dab8e2ef8ddbfc66a4b2025-02-09T12:31:25ZengNature PortfolioScientific Reports2045-23222025-02-0115111510.1038/s41598-024-83248-zEnhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting frameworkShrikar Jayaraman0Nathezhtha T1Abirami S2Sakthivel G3Vellore Institute of Technology ChennaiVellore Institute of Technology ChennaiVellore Institute of Technology ChennaiVellore Institute of Technology ChennaiAbstract Air quality forecasting plays a pivotal role in environmental management, public health and urban planning. This research presents a comprehensive approach for forecasting the Air Quality Index (AQI). The proposed Time-Based-Spatial (TBS) forecasting framework is integrated with spatial and temporal information using machine learning techniques on data collected from a wide range of cities. The TBS employs Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) to capture spatial dependencies based on normalized latitude and longitude coordinates of the cities. Simultaneously, time series model, specifically the ARIMA (AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average) was employed to capture temporal dependencies using pollutant concentration readings over time. The dataset included information such as date, time, pollutant concentrations and AQI was further preprocessed and divided into training and testing sets. The CNN was configured to utilize the normalized latitude and longitude grid, while the ARIMA model concurrently processed the pollutant concentrations. The model was trained on the training dataset, and a 6 hour forecast is generated for each test instance. The outcomes demonstrate the TBS model’s ability to accurately predict AQI values. The integration of CNNs and time series model allowed for an clearer and deeper understanding of geographical and pollutant concentration factors that contribute to air quality variations.https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83248-zAQITBSCNNARIMASpatial characteristicsForecasting
spellingShingle Shrikar Jayaraman
Nathezhtha T
Abirami S
Sakthivel G
Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework
Scientific Reports
AQI
TBS
CNN
ARIMA
Spatial characteristics
Forecasting
title Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework
title_full Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework
title_fullStr Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework
title_full_unstemmed Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework
title_short Enhancing urban air quality prediction using time-based-spatial forecasting framework
title_sort enhancing urban air quality prediction using time based spatial forecasting framework
topic AQI
TBS
CNN
ARIMA
Spatial characteristics
Forecasting
url https://doi.org/10.1038/s41598-024-83248-z
work_keys_str_mv AT shrikarjayaraman enhancingurbanairqualitypredictionusingtimebasedspatialforecastingframework
AT nathezhthat enhancingurbanairqualitypredictionusingtimebasedspatialforecastingframework
AT abiramis enhancingurbanairqualitypredictionusingtimebasedspatialforecastingframework
AT sakthivelg enhancingurbanairqualitypredictionusingtimebasedspatialforecastingframework