Fatigue damage reduction in hydropower startups with machine learning

Abstract As the global shift towards renewable energy accelerates, achieving stability in power systems is crucial. Hydropower accounts for approximately 17% of energy produced worldwide, and with its capacity for active and reactive power regulation, is well-suited to provide necessary ancillary se...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Till Muser, Ekaterina Krymova, Alessandro Morabito, Martin Seydoux, Elena Vagnoni
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-03-01
Series:Nature Communications
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-025-58229-z
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Summary:Abstract As the global shift towards renewable energy accelerates, achieving stability in power systems is crucial. Hydropower accounts for approximately 17% of energy produced worldwide, and with its capacity for active and reactive power regulation, is well-suited to provide necessary ancillary services. However, as demand for these services rises, hydropower systems must adapt to handle rapid dynamic changes and off-design conditions. Fatigue damage in hydraulic machines, driven by fluctuating loads and varying mechanical stresses, is especially prominent during the transient start-up of the machine. In this study, we introduce a data-driven approach to identify transient start-up trajectories that minimize fatigue damage. We optimize the trajectory by leveraging a machine learning model, trained on experimental stress data of reduced-scale model turbines. Numerical and experimental results confirm that our optimized trajectory significantly reduces start-up damage, representing a meaningful advancement in hydropower operations, maintenance, and the safe transition to higher operational flexibility.
ISSN:2041-1723