Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
To reduce the average bandwidth of the forecast interval while increasing the interval coverage,this paper conducted a coupling analysis of dual EnKF and GLUE,two methods to research the hydrological model uncertainty and obtained the dual E-G method.Taking the Xin'anjiang model as an example,t...
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Format: | Article |
Language: | zho |
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Editorial Office of Pearl River
2022-01-01
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Series: | Renmin Zhujiang |
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Online Access: | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.06.016 |
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author | ZHENG Yanfeng |
author_facet | ZHENG Yanfeng |
author_sort | ZHENG Yanfeng |
collection | DOAJ |
description | To reduce the average bandwidth of the forecast interval while increasing the interval coverage,this paper conducted a coupling analysis of dual EnKF and GLUE,two methods to research the hydrological model uncertainty and obtained the dual E-G method.Taking the Xin'anjiang model as an example,the paper used three evaluation indicators (i.e.,coverage,average bandwidth and average asymmetry) to evaluate the interval properties of the dual E-G method in three river basins (i.e.,the Jiahe Basin,Tianhe Basin and Bahe Basin) and compared the proposed method with the GLUE method.The results show that the dual E-G method can improve three kinds of uncertainty indexes at the same time.The results can provide a useful reference for further study on hydrological model forecasting and flood decision-making risk analysis. |
format | Article |
id | doaj-art-8746651f09ee4b04acd33dd3cbff75ba |
institution | Kabale University |
issn | 1001-9235 |
language | zho |
publishDate | 2022-01-01 |
publisher | Editorial Office of Pearl River |
record_format | Article |
series | Renmin Zhujiang |
spelling | doaj-art-8746651f09ee4b04acd33dd3cbff75ba2025-01-15T02:27:21ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352022-01-014347645058Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model UncertaintyZHENG YanfengTo reduce the average bandwidth of the forecast interval while increasing the interval coverage,this paper conducted a coupling analysis of dual EnKF and GLUE,two methods to research the hydrological model uncertainty and obtained the dual E-G method.Taking the Xin'anjiang model as an example,the paper used three evaluation indicators (i.e.,coverage,average bandwidth and average asymmetry) to evaluate the interval properties of the dual E-G method in three river basins (i.e.,the Jiahe Basin,Tianhe Basin and Bahe Basin) and compared the proposed method with the GLUE method.The results show that the dual E-G method can improve three kinds of uncertainty indexes at the same time.The results can provide a useful reference for further study on hydrological model forecasting and flood decision-making risk analysis.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.06.016hydrological modeluncertainty analysisdual EnKFGLUE |
spellingShingle | ZHENG Yanfeng Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty Renmin Zhujiang hydrological model uncertainty analysis dual EnKF GLUE |
title | Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty |
title_full | Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty |
title_fullStr | Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty |
title_full_unstemmed | Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty |
title_short | Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty |
title_sort | coupling analysis of research methods for hydrological model uncertainty |
topic | hydrological model uncertainty analysis dual EnKF GLUE |
url | http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.06.016 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT zhengyanfeng couplinganalysisofresearchmethodsforhydrologicalmodeluncertainty |