Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty

To reduce the average bandwidth of the forecast interval while increasing the interval coverage,this paper conducted a coupling analysis of dual EnKF and GLUE,two methods to research the hydrological model uncertainty and obtained the dual E-G method.Taking the Xin'anjiang model as an example,t...

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Main Author: ZHENG Yanfeng
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2022-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.06.016
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author ZHENG Yanfeng
author_facet ZHENG Yanfeng
author_sort ZHENG Yanfeng
collection DOAJ
description To reduce the average bandwidth of the forecast interval while increasing the interval coverage,this paper conducted a coupling analysis of dual EnKF and GLUE,two methods to research the hydrological model uncertainty and obtained the dual E-G method.Taking the Xin'anjiang model as an example,the paper used three evaluation indicators (i.e.,coverage,average bandwidth and average asymmetry) to evaluate the interval properties of the dual E-G method in three river basins (i.e.,the Jiahe Basin,Tianhe Basin and Bahe Basin) and compared the proposed method with the GLUE method.The results show that the dual E-G method can improve three kinds of uncertainty indexes at the same time.The results can provide a useful reference for further study on hydrological model forecasting and flood decision-making risk analysis.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
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publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-8746651f09ee4b04acd33dd3cbff75ba2025-01-15T02:27:21ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352022-01-014347645058Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model UncertaintyZHENG YanfengTo reduce the average bandwidth of the forecast interval while increasing the interval coverage,this paper conducted a coupling analysis of dual EnKF and GLUE,two methods to research the hydrological model uncertainty and obtained the dual E-G method.Taking the Xin'anjiang model as an example,the paper used three evaluation indicators (i.e.,coverage,average bandwidth and average asymmetry) to evaluate the interval properties of the dual E-G method in three river basins (i.e.,the Jiahe Basin,Tianhe Basin and Bahe Basin) and compared the proposed method with the GLUE method.The results show that the dual E-G method can improve three kinds of uncertainty indexes at the same time.The results can provide a useful reference for further study on hydrological model forecasting and flood decision-making risk analysis.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.06.016hydrological modeluncertainty analysisdual EnKFGLUE
spellingShingle ZHENG Yanfeng
Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
Renmin Zhujiang
hydrological model
uncertainty analysis
dual EnKF
GLUE
title Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
title_full Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
title_fullStr Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
title_full_unstemmed Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
title_short Coupling Analysis of Research Methods for Hydrological Model Uncertainty
title_sort coupling analysis of research methods for hydrological model uncertainty
topic hydrological model
uncertainty analysis
dual EnKF
GLUE
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2022.06.016
work_keys_str_mv AT zhengyanfeng couplinganalysisofresearchmethodsforhydrologicalmodeluncertainty