Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales

Abstract The ocean's organic carbon export is a key control on atmospheric pCO2 and stimulating this export could potentially mitigate climate change. We use a data‐constrained model to calculate the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to local changes in export using an adjoint approach. A perpetu...

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Main Authors: Mark Holzer, Tim DeVries, Benoît Pasquier
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2024-06-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108462
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author Mark Holzer
Tim DeVries
Benoît Pasquier
author_facet Mark Holzer
Tim DeVries
Benoît Pasquier
author_sort Mark Holzer
collection DOAJ
description Abstract The ocean's organic carbon export is a key control on atmospheric pCO2 and stimulating this export could potentially mitigate climate change. We use a data‐constrained model to calculate the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to local changes in export using an adjoint approach. A perpetual enhancement of the biological pump's export by 0.1 PgC/yr could achieve a roughly 1% reduction in pCO2 at average sensitivity. The sensitivity varies roughly 5‐fold across different ocean regions and is proportional to the difference between the mean sequestration time τseq of regenerated carbon and the response time τpre of performed carbon, which is the reduction in the preformed carbon inventory per unit increase in local export production. Air‐sea CO2 disequilibrium modulates the geographic pattern of τpre, causing particularly high sensitivities (2–3 times the global mean) in the Antarctic Divergence region of the Southern Ocean.
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publishDate 2024-06-01
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-87168d5d92f54ec0ade9f8619ebe976e2025-08-20T02:31:38ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072024-06-015112n/an/a10.1029/2024GL108462Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and TimescalesMark Holzer0Tim DeVries1Benoît Pasquier2Department of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics and Statistics University of New South Wales Sydney NSW AustraliaDepartment of Geography University of California Santa Barbara CA USADepartment of Applied Mathematics, School of Mathematics and Statistics University of New South Wales Sydney NSW AustraliaAbstract The ocean's organic carbon export is a key control on atmospheric pCO2 and stimulating this export could potentially mitigate climate change. We use a data‐constrained model to calculate the sensitivity of atmospheric pCO2 to local changes in export using an adjoint approach. A perpetual enhancement of the biological pump's export by 0.1 PgC/yr could achieve a roughly 1% reduction in pCO2 at average sensitivity. The sensitivity varies roughly 5‐fold across different ocean regions and is proportional to the difference between the mean sequestration time τseq of regenerated carbon and the response time τpre of performed carbon, which is the reduction in the preformed carbon inventory per unit increase in local export production. Air‐sea CO2 disequilibrium modulates the geographic pattern of τpre, causing particularly high sensitivities (2–3 times the global mean) in the Antarctic Divergence region of the Southern Ocean.https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108462atmospheric CO2biological pumpcarbon dioxide removal (CDR)linear sensitivitystimulated carbon exportadjoint methods
spellingShingle Mark Holzer
Tim DeVries
Benoît Pasquier
Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales
Geophysical Research Letters
atmospheric CO2
biological pump
carbon dioxide removal (CDR)
linear sensitivity
stimulated carbon export
adjoint methods
title Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales
title_full Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales
title_fullStr Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales
title_full_unstemmed Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales
title_short Atmospheric pCO2 Response to Stimulated Organic Carbon Export: Sensitivity Patterns and Timescales
title_sort atmospheric pco2 response to stimulated organic carbon export sensitivity patterns and timescales
topic atmospheric CO2
biological pump
carbon dioxide removal (CDR)
linear sensitivity
stimulated carbon export
adjoint methods
url https://doi.org/10.1029/2024GL108462
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AT timdevries atmosphericpco2responsetostimulatedorganiccarbonexportsensitivitypatternsandtimescales
AT benoitpasquier atmosphericpco2responsetostimulatedorganiccarbonexportsensitivitypatternsandtimescales