Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.

Measurement of aging is critical to understanding its causes and developing interventions, but little consensus exists on what components such measurements should include or how they perform in predicting mortality. The aim of this study was to identify factors of aging among a comprehensive set of...

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Main Authors: Kristian E Markon, Frank D Mann, Colin D Freilich, Steve Cole, Robert F Krueger
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Public Library of Science (PLoS) 2025-01-01
Series:PLoS ONE
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0324156
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author Kristian E Markon
Frank D Mann
Colin D Freilich
Steve Cole
Robert F Krueger
author_facet Kristian E Markon
Frank D Mann
Colin D Freilich
Steve Cole
Robert F Krueger
author_sort Kristian E Markon
collection DOAJ
description Measurement of aging is critical to understanding its causes and developing interventions, but little consensus exists on what components such measurements should include or how they perform in predicting mortality. The aim of this study was to identify factors of aging among a comprehensive set of indicators, and to evaluate their relative performance in predicting mortality. Measurements on 34 clinical, survey, and neuroimaging variables, along with epigenetic age markers, were obtained from two waves (2004-2021) of the Midlife in the United States (MIDUS) study. Mortality data was also available on 11875 participants, including 1908 twins. Factor analyses were used to identify aging factors, and these were used to predict mortality as of 2022. Twin data were used to model predictors of mortality within families. Factor analyses identified 9 major dimensions of aging: frailty, cognition, adiposity, glucose, blood pressure, inflammation, lipids, adaptive functioning, and neurological functioning. The strongest predictors of survival among the aging dimensions were cognition, adaptive functioning, and inflammation, and among the epigenetic markers, the decline-predictive markers (GrimAge and DunedinPACE). When entered in joint prediction models, cognition remained a significant predictor of mortality, but the epigenetic markers did not. Cognition, adaptive functioning, and inflammation remained significant predictors of mortality within twin pairs as well. Aging is a multidimensional construct, with cognition, adaptive functioning, and inflammation being the strongest predictors of survival among the aging dimensions examined. Their association with mortality is observed within families, suggesting that early developmental factors cannot entirely account for their association with survival. Interventions and assessments should prioritize cognition in measures of aging quality, along with adaptive functioning and inflammation.
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spelling doaj-art-86bb4c04458e41b48b6dabaca97cbf452025-08-20T03:51:30ZengPublic Library of Science (PLoS)PLoS ONE1932-62032025-01-01206e032415610.1371/journal.pone.0324156Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.Kristian E MarkonFrank D MannColin D FreilichSteve ColeRobert F KruegerMeasurement of aging is critical to understanding its causes and developing interventions, but little consensus exists on what components such measurements should include or how they perform in predicting mortality. The aim of this study was to identify factors of aging among a comprehensive set of indicators, and to evaluate their relative performance in predicting mortality. Measurements on 34 clinical, survey, and neuroimaging variables, along with epigenetic age markers, were obtained from two waves (2004-2021) of the Midlife in the United States (MIDUS) study. Mortality data was also available on 11875 participants, including 1908 twins. Factor analyses were used to identify aging factors, and these were used to predict mortality as of 2022. Twin data were used to model predictors of mortality within families. Factor analyses identified 9 major dimensions of aging: frailty, cognition, adiposity, glucose, blood pressure, inflammation, lipids, adaptive functioning, and neurological functioning. The strongest predictors of survival among the aging dimensions were cognition, adaptive functioning, and inflammation, and among the epigenetic markers, the decline-predictive markers (GrimAge and DunedinPACE). When entered in joint prediction models, cognition remained a significant predictor of mortality, but the epigenetic markers did not. Cognition, adaptive functioning, and inflammation remained significant predictors of mortality within twin pairs as well. Aging is a multidimensional construct, with cognition, adaptive functioning, and inflammation being the strongest predictors of survival among the aging dimensions examined. Their association with mortality is observed within families, suggesting that early developmental factors cannot entirely account for their association with survival. Interventions and assessments should prioritize cognition in measures of aging quality, along with adaptive functioning and inflammation.https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0324156
spellingShingle Kristian E Markon
Frank D Mann
Colin D Freilich
Steve Cole
Robert F Krueger
Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.
PLoS ONE
title Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.
title_full Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.
title_fullStr Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.
title_full_unstemmed Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.
title_short Aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample.
title_sort aging dimensions and markers as relative predictors of mortality in a longitudinal epidemiological sample
url https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0324156
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