The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe

This paper examines the influence of emotions on political polarization, looking at online propagation of conspiracy thinking by extreme right movements in Southern Europe. Integrating insights from psychology, political science, media studies, and system theory, we propose the ‘polarization loop’,...

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Main Authors: Erik Bran Marino, Jesus M. Benitez-Baleato, Ana Sofia Ribeiro
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/13/11/603
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author Erik Bran Marino
Jesus M. Benitez-Baleato
Ana Sofia Ribeiro
author_facet Erik Bran Marino
Jesus M. Benitez-Baleato
Ana Sofia Ribeiro
author_sort Erik Bran Marino
collection DOAJ
description This paper examines the influence of emotions on political polarization, looking at online propagation of conspiracy thinking by extreme right movements in Southern Europe. Integrating insights from psychology, political science, media studies, and system theory, we propose the ‘polarization loop’, a causal mechanism explaining the cyclical relationship between extreme messages, emotional engagement, media amplification, and societal polarization. We illustrate the utility of the polarization loop observing the use of the Great Replacement Theory by extreme right movements in Italy, Portugal, and Spain. We suggest possible options to mitigate the negative effects of online polarization in democracy, including public oversight of algorithmic decission-making, involving social science and humanities in algorithmic design, and strengthening resilience of citizenship to prevent emotional overflow. We encourage interdisciplinary research where historical analysis can guide computational methods such as Natural Language Processing (NLP), using Large Language Models fine-tunned consistently with political science research. Provided the intimate nature of emotions, the focus of connected research should remain on structural patterns rather than individual behavior, making it explicit that results derived from this research cannot be applied as the base for decisions, automated or not, that may affect individuals.
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spelling doaj-art-85ffd27e063c49aebb383c75764e57a42025-08-20T02:04:44ZengMDPI AGSocial Sciences2076-07602024-11-01131160310.3390/socsci13110603The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern EuropeErik Bran Marino0Jesus M. Benitez-Baleato1Ana Sofia Ribeiro2CIDEHUS—Centro Interdisciplinar de História, Culturas e Sociedades, Universidade de Évora, Palácio do Vimioso, Largo do Marquês de Marialva, n.º 8, 7000-809 Évora, PortugalPolitical Analysis Research Group (Grupo de Investigacións Políticas), Universidade de Santiago de Compostela, 15705 Santiago de Compostela, SpainCIDEHUS—Centro Interdisciplinar de História, Culturas e Sociedades, Universidade de Évora, Palácio do Vimioso, Largo do Marquês de Marialva, n.º 8, 7000-809 Évora, PortugalThis paper examines the influence of emotions on political polarization, looking at online propagation of conspiracy thinking by extreme right movements in Southern Europe. Integrating insights from psychology, political science, media studies, and system theory, we propose the ‘polarization loop’, a causal mechanism explaining the cyclical relationship between extreme messages, emotional engagement, media amplification, and societal polarization. We illustrate the utility of the polarization loop observing the use of the Great Replacement Theory by extreme right movements in Italy, Portugal, and Spain. We suggest possible options to mitigate the negative effects of online polarization in democracy, including public oversight of algorithmic decission-making, involving social science and humanities in algorithmic design, and strengthening resilience of citizenship to prevent emotional overflow. We encourage interdisciplinary research where historical analysis can guide computational methods such as Natural Language Processing (NLP), using Large Language Models fine-tunned consistently with political science research. Provided the intimate nature of emotions, the focus of connected research should remain on structural patterns rather than individual behavior, making it explicit that results derived from this research cannot be applied as the base for decisions, automated or not, that may affect individuals.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/13/11/603disinformationpolarizationemotionsconspiracyartificial intelligencenatural language processing
spellingShingle Erik Bran Marino
Jesus M. Benitez-Baleato
Ana Sofia Ribeiro
The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
Social Sciences
disinformation
polarization
emotions
conspiracy
artificial intelligence
natural language processing
title The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
title_full The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
title_fullStr The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
title_full_unstemmed The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
title_short The Polarization Loop: How Emotions Drive Propagation of Disinformation in Online Media—The Case of Conspiracy Theories and Extreme Right Movements in Southern Europe
title_sort polarization loop how emotions drive propagation of disinformation in online media the case of conspiracy theories and extreme right movements in southern europe
topic disinformation
polarization
emotions
conspiracy
artificial intelligence
natural language processing
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/13/11/603
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