A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage
The resilience of the tourism industry is increasingly reliant on robust health infrastructure and effective disease detection systems, particularly in the face of ongoing global health challenges. This study introduces a modified tourism area life cycle model to explore the interplay between health...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-05-01
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| Series: | Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666957925000126 |
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| author | M. Rodrigo I. Ajala A.K. Irhanida |
| author_facet | M. Rodrigo I. Ajala A.K. Irhanida |
| author_sort | M. Rodrigo |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The resilience of the tourism industry is increasingly reliant on robust health infrastructure and effective disease detection systems, particularly in the face of ongoing global health challenges. This study introduces a modified tourism area life cycle model to explore the interplay between health preparedness and tourism dynamics. By linking growth rates to quantifiable indicators from the WHO International Health Regulations core capacity index, which evaluates adherence to global health standards, the model effectively illustrates tourist population behaviours alongside health capacity. It highlights trends of decline or rejuvenation during the poststagnation phase and provides predictive insights relevant to five representative countries. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-8593c518d1494b9da63eefad8b9a15ce |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 2666-9579 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-05-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights |
| spelling | doaj-art-8593c518d1494b9da63eefad8b9a15ce2025-08-20T02:30:55ZengElsevierAnnals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights2666-95792025-05-016110017710.1016/j.annale.2025.100177A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stageM. Rodrigo0I. Ajala1A.K. Irhanida2School of Mathematics and Applied Statistics, University of Wollongong, Wollongong, New South Wales 2522, Australia; Corresponding author.School of Humanities, Social Sciences and Health, University of Wollongong in Dubai, Knowledge Park, P.O. Box 20183, Dubai, United Arab EmiratesSchool of Hospitality, Tourism and Culinary Arts, UOW Malaysia KDU Penang University College, 10400 George Town, Penang, MalaysiaThe resilience of the tourism industry is increasingly reliant on robust health infrastructure and effective disease detection systems, particularly in the face of ongoing global health challenges. This study introduces a modified tourism area life cycle model to explore the interplay between health preparedness and tourism dynamics. By linking growth rates to quantifiable indicators from the WHO International Health Regulations core capacity index, which evaluates adherence to global health standards, the model effectively illustrates tourist population behaviours alongside health capacity. It highlights trends of decline or rejuvenation during the poststagnation phase and provides predictive insights relevant to five representative countries.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666957925000126Tourism area life cyclePoststagnation stageIndex-dependent growth ratePeriodic solutions |
| spellingShingle | M. Rodrigo I. Ajala A.K. Irhanida A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage Annals of Tourism Research Empirical Insights Tourism area life cycle Poststagnation stage Index-dependent growth rate Periodic solutions |
| title | A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage |
| title_full | A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage |
| title_fullStr | A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage |
| title_full_unstemmed | A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage |
| title_short | A tourism area life cycle model with an index-dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage |
| title_sort | tourism area life cycle model with an index dependent growth rate for modelling the poststagnation stage |
| topic | Tourism area life cycle Poststagnation stage Index-dependent growth rate Periodic solutions |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2666957925000126 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT mrodrigo atourismarealifecyclemodelwithanindexdependentgrowthrateformodellingthepoststagnationstage AT iajala atourismarealifecyclemodelwithanindexdependentgrowthrateformodellingthepoststagnationstage AT akirhanida atourismarealifecyclemodelwithanindexdependentgrowthrateformodellingthepoststagnationstage AT mrodrigo tourismarealifecyclemodelwithanindexdependentgrowthrateformodellingthepoststagnationstage AT iajala tourismarealifecyclemodelwithanindexdependentgrowthrateformodellingthepoststagnationstage AT akirhanida tourismarealifecyclemodelwithanindexdependentgrowthrateformodellingthepoststagnationstage |