Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia
The main goal of this paper is to assess the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Croatia. We estimate two effects of the pandemic on mortality: (1) excess mortality during 2020 and (2) the age- and cause-specific components of life expectancy decline in 2020. We calculate ex...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Institute of Social Science, Belgrade
2021-01-01
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| Series: | Stanovništvo |
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| Online Access: | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0038-982X/2021/0038-982X2101001C.pdf |
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| author | Čipin Ivan Mustač Dario Međimurec Petra |
| author_facet | Čipin Ivan Mustač Dario Međimurec Petra |
| author_sort | Čipin Ivan |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The main goal of this paper is to assess the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic
on mortality in Croatia. We estimate two effects of the pandemic on
mortality: (1) excess mortality during 2020 and (2) the age- and
cause-specific components of life expectancy decline in 2020. We calculate
excess mortality in 2020 as the difference between the registered number of
deaths in 2020 and the expected number of deaths from a Poisson regression
model based on weekly death counts and population exposures by age and sex
from 2016 to 2019. Using decomposition techniques, we estimate age- and
cause-specific components (distinguishing COVID-19-related deaths from
deaths from other causes) of life expectancy decline in 2020. Our results
show that excess mortality in 2020 almost entirely results from the second,
autumn-winter wave of the epidemic in Croatia. Expectedly, we find the
highest excess in deaths in older age groups. In Croatia, life expectancy in
2020 fell by almost eight months for men and about seven months for women.
This decline is mostly attributable to COVID-19-related mortality in older
ages, especially among men. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-85426d5e568149debea6c4e7b18a621b |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 0038-982X 2217-3986 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2021-01-01 |
| publisher | Institute of Social Science, Belgrade |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Stanovništvo |
| spelling | doaj-art-85426d5e568149debea6c4e7b18a621b2025-08-20T01:54:42ZengInstitute of Social Science, BelgradeStanovništvo0038-982X2217-39862021-01-0159111610.2298/STNV2101001C0038-982X2101001CImpact of COVID-19 on mortality in CroatiaČipin Ivan0https://orcid.org/0000-0002-5624-0359Mustač Dario1https://orcid.org/0000-0002-9891-6222Međimurec Petra2https://orcid.org/0000-0003-2616-2457Department of Demography, Faculty of Economics & Business, University of Zagreb, CroatiaDepartment of Demography, Faculty of Economics & Business, University of Zagreb, CroatiaDepartment of Demography, Faculty of Economics & Business, University of Zagreb, CroatiaThe main goal of this paper is to assess the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Croatia. We estimate two effects of the pandemic on mortality: (1) excess mortality during 2020 and (2) the age- and cause-specific components of life expectancy decline in 2020. We calculate excess mortality in 2020 as the difference between the registered number of deaths in 2020 and the expected number of deaths from a Poisson regression model based on weekly death counts and population exposures by age and sex from 2016 to 2019. Using decomposition techniques, we estimate age- and cause-specific components (distinguishing COVID-19-related deaths from deaths from other causes) of life expectancy decline in 2020. Our results show that excess mortality in 2020 almost entirely results from the second, autumn-winter wave of the epidemic in Croatia. Expectedly, we find the highest excess in deaths in older age groups. In Croatia, life expectancy in 2020 fell by almost eight months for men and about seven months for women. This decline is mostly attributable to COVID-19-related mortality in older ages, especially among men.http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0038-982X/2021/0038-982X2101001C.pdfcovid-19pandemicexcess mortalitylife expectancycroatia |
| spellingShingle | Čipin Ivan Mustač Dario Međimurec Petra Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia Stanovništvo covid-19 pandemic excess mortality life expectancy croatia |
| title | Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia |
| title_full | Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia |
| title_fullStr | Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia |
| title_full_unstemmed | Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia |
| title_short | Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia |
| title_sort | impact of covid 19 on mortality in croatia |
| topic | covid-19 pandemic excess mortality life expectancy croatia |
| url | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0038-982X/2021/0038-982X2101001C.pdf |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT cipinivan impactofcovid19onmortalityincroatia AT mustacdario impactofcovid19onmortalityincroatia AT međimurecpetra impactofcovid19onmortalityincroatia |