Impact of COVID-19 on mortality in Croatia
The main goal of this paper is to assess the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic on mortality in Croatia. We estimate two effects of the pandemic on mortality: (1) excess mortality during 2020 and (2) the age- and cause-specific components of life expectancy decline in 2020. We calculate ex...
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| Main Authors: | , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Institute of Social Science, Belgrade
2021-01-01
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| Series: | Stanovništvo |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | http://www.doiserbia.nb.rs/img/doi/0038-982X/2021/0038-982X2101001C.pdf |
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| Summary: | The main goal of this paper is to assess the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic
on mortality in Croatia. We estimate two effects of the pandemic on
mortality: (1) excess mortality during 2020 and (2) the age- and
cause-specific components of life expectancy decline in 2020. We calculate
excess mortality in 2020 as the difference between the registered number of
deaths in 2020 and the expected number of deaths from a Poisson regression
model based on weekly death counts and population exposures by age and sex
from 2016 to 2019. Using decomposition techniques, we estimate age- and
cause-specific components (distinguishing COVID-19-related deaths from
deaths from other causes) of life expectancy decline in 2020. Our results
show that excess mortality in 2020 almost entirely results from the second,
autumn-winter wave of the epidemic in Croatia. Expectedly, we find the
highest excess in deaths in older age groups. In Croatia, life expectancy in
2020 fell by almost eight months for men and about seven months for women.
This decline is mostly attributable to COVID-19-related mortality in older
ages, especially among men. |
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| ISSN: | 0038-982X 2217-3986 |