Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas

For hydrological forecasting in karst areas,existing research mainly uses hydrological models based on physical mechanisms,while rare research focuses on machine learning models.To explore the applicability of machine learning models in karst areas, this paper utilizes the LSTM model and random fore...

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Main Authors: ZHAO Zejin, SUN Wei, ZHOU Bin, ZHANG Xuan, WANG Gaoxu, WU Wei, LI Wenjie, YAO Ye
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Office of Pearl River 2024-01-01
Series:Renmin Zhujiang
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Online Access:http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.03.007
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author ZHAO Zejin
SUN Wei
ZHOU Bin
ZHANG Xuan
WANG Gaoxu
WU Wei
LI Wenjie
YAO Ye
author_facet ZHAO Zejin
SUN Wei
ZHOU Bin
ZHANG Xuan
WANG Gaoxu
WU Wei
LI Wenjie
YAO Ye
author_sort ZHAO Zejin
collection DOAJ
description For hydrological forecasting in karst areas,existing research mainly uses hydrological models based on physical mechanisms,while rare research focuses on machine learning models.To explore the applicability of machine learning models in karst areas, this paper utilizes the LSTM model and random forest model to simulate the daily runoff and field floods at Tangdian hydrological station,using the Shadian River basin in Yunnan Province as the study area.The modified Xin'anjiang model for karst areas is taken as a reference.The results show that both the machine learning model and the modified Xin'anjiang model have achieved good results in simulating the daily runoff process, with the LSTM model showing better simulation results.In the simulation of floods,the modified Xin'anjiang model achieves Class A forecast accuracy.The machine learning models have better forecast results for the 6-hour forecasting period than the modified Xin'anjiang model,while the forecast results for the 24-hour forecasting period do not meet the accuracy requirements of the forecast operation.The study provides a reference for hydrological forecasting in karst areas by studying the characteristics and forecasting accuracy of two machine learning models and a hydrologic model.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1001-9235
language zho
publishDate 2024-01-01
publisher Editorial Office of Pearl River
record_format Article
series Renmin Zhujiang
spelling doaj-art-853eaa53622e46d09c2209bd3af05c2a2025-01-15T03:00:41ZzhoEditorial Office of Pearl RiverRenmin Zhujiang1001-92352024-01-014554032236Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst AreasZHAO ZejinSUN WeiZHOU BinZHANG XuanWANG GaoxuWU WeiLI WenjieYAO YeFor hydrological forecasting in karst areas,existing research mainly uses hydrological models based on physical mechanisms,while rare research focuses on machine learning models.To explore the applicability of machine learning models in karst areas, this paper utilizes the LSTM model and random forest model to simulate the daily runoff and field floods at Tangdian hydrological station,using the Shadian River basin in Yunnan Province as the study area.The modified Xin'anjiang model for karst areas is taken as a reference.The results show that both the machine learning model and the modified Xin'anjiang model have achieved good results in simulating the daily runoff process, with the LSTM model showing better simulation results.In the simulation of floods,the modified Xin'anjiang model achieves Class A forecast accuracy.The machine learning models have better forecast results for the 6-hour forecasting period than the modified Xin'anjiang model,while the forecast results for the 24-hour forecasting period do not meet the accuracy requirements of the forecast operation.The study provides a reference for hydrological forecasting in karst areas by studying the characteristics and forecasting accuracy of two machine learning models and a hydrologic model.http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.03.007karst areaflood forecastingmachine learningmodified Xin'anjiang model
spellingShingle ZHAO Zejin
SUN Wei
ZHOU Bin
ZHANG Xuan
WANG Gaoxu
WU Wei
LI Wenjie
YAO Ye
Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas
Renmin Zhujiang
karst area
flood forecasting
machine learning
modified Xin'anjiang model
title Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas
title_full Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas
title_fullStr Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas
title_full_unstemmed Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas
title_short Applicability Analysis of Machine Learning Model in Hydrological Forecasting in Karst Areas
title_sort applicability analysis of machine learning model in hydrological forecasting in karst areas
topic karst area
flood forecasting
machine learning
modified Xin'anjiang model
url http://www.renminzhujiang.cn/thesisDetails#10.3969/j.issn.1001-9235.2024.03.007
work_keys_str_mv AT zhaozejin applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT sunwei applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT zhoubin applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT zhangxuan applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT wanggaoxu applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT wuwei applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT liwenjie applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas
AT yaoye applicabilityanalysisofmachinelearningmodelinhydrologicalforecastinginkarstareas