ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS
The methodical bases of research and forecast of the level of poverty are stated in the article. The great attention is focused on the analysis of the main trends and predicting the level of poverty on the basis of time series. The author offer two predictive models of poverty level in Astrakhan reg...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
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Plekhanov Russian University of Economics
2016-08-01
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| Series: | Статистика и экономика |
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| Online Access: | https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/485 |
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| _version_ | 1849774848804388864 |
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| author | Marina V. Kolomeiko |
| author_facet | Marina V. Kolomeiko |
| author_sort | Marina V. Kolomeiko |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The methodical bases of research and forecast of the level of poverty are stated in the article. The great attention is focused on the analysis of the main trends and predicting the level of poverty on the basis of time series. The author offer two predictive models of poverty level in Astrakhan region on the basis of trend analysis of time series and poverty by using the exponential smoothing - the multiplicative Holt-Winters model with a linear increase. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-84e394e2ce4d462ab6feb1369ac0c77d |
| institution | DOAJ |
| issn | 2500-3925 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2016-08-01 |
| publisher | Plekhanov Russian University of Economics |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Статистика и экономика |
| spelling | doaj-art-84e394e2ce4d462ab6feb1369ac0c77d2025-08-20T03:01:35ZrusPlekhanov Russian University of EconomicsСтатистика и экономика2500-39252016-08-010415415710.21686/2500-3925-2014-4-154-157484ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODSMarina V. Kolomeiko0Moscow State University of Economics, Statistics and Informatics (MESI)The methodical bases of research and forecast of the level of poverty are stated in the article. The great attention is focused on the analysis of the main trends and predicting the level of poverty on the basis of time series. The author offer two predictive models of poverty level in Astrakhan region on the basis of trend analysis of time series and poverty by using the exponential smoothing - the multiplicative Holt-Winters model with a linear increase.https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/485бедность насе ленияанализ основной тенденциипрогнозированиевременные рядытрендовый анализметода экспонен циального сглаживанияpoverty of the populationthe main trend analysisforecastingtime seriestrend analysisexponential smoothing method |
| spellingShingle | Marina V. Kolomeiko ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS Статистика и экономика бедность насе ления анализ основной тенденции прогнозирование временные ряды трендовый анализ метода экспонен циального сглаживания poverty of the population the main trend analysis forecasting time series trend analysis exponential smoothing method |
| title | ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS |
| title_full | ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS |
| title_fullStr | ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS |
| title_full_unstemmed | ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS |
| title_short | ANALYSIS OF THE MAIN TRENDS AND FORECASTING THE LEVEL OF POVERTY OF THE POPULATION OF THE ASTRAKHAN REGION ON THE BASIS OF TIME SERIES METHODS |
| title_sort | analysis of the main trends and forecasting the level of poverty of the population of the astrakhan region on the basis of time series methods |
| topic | бедность насе ления анализ основной тенденции прогнозирование временные ряды трендовый анализ метода экспонен циального сглаживания poverty of the population the main trend analysis forecasting time series trend analysis exponential smoothing method |
| url | https://statecon.rea.ru/jour/article/view/485 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT marinavkolomeiko analysisofthemaintrendsandforecastingthelevelofpovertyofthepopulationoftheastrakhanregiononthebasisoftimeseriesmethods |