On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions

Experiments in engineering are typically conducted in controlled environments where parameters can be set to any desired value. This assumes that the same applies in a real-world setting, which is often incorrect as many experiments are influenced by uncontrollable environmental conditions such as t...

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Main Authors: Mike Diessner, Kevin J. Wilson, Richard D. Whalley
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Cambridge University Press 2024-01-01
Series:Data-Centric Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673624000406/type/journal_article
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author Mike Diessner
Kevin J. Wilson
Richard D. Whalley
author_facet Mike Diessner
Kevin J. Wilson
Richard D. Whalley
author_sort Mike Diessner
collection DOAJ
description Experiments in engineering are typically conducted in controlled environments where parameters can be set to any desired value. This assumes that the same applies in a real-world setting, which is often incorrect as many experiments are influenced by uncontrollable environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, and wind speed. When optimizing such experiments, the focus should be on finding optimal values conditionally on these uncontrollable variables. This article extends Bayesian optimization to the optimization of systems in changing environments that include controllable and uncontrollable parameters. The extension fits a global surrogate model over all controllable and environmental variables but optimizes only the controllable parameters conditional on measurements of the uncontrollable variables. The method is validated on two synthetic test functions, and the effects of the noise level, the number of environmental parameters, the parameter fluctuation, the variability of the uncontrollable parameters, and the effective domain size are investigated. ENVBO, the proposed algorithm from this investigation, is applied to a wind farm simulator with eight controllable and one environmental parameter. ENVBO finds solutions for the entire domain of the environmental variable that outperform results from optimization algorithms that only focus on a fixed environmental value in all but one case while using a fraction of their evaluation budget. This makes the proposed approach very sample-efficient and cost-effective. An off-the-shelf open-source version of ENVBO is available via the NUBO Python package.
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spelling doaj-art-848bbed2dd3246599662bdd728e8a2bd2025-01-16T21:48:44ZengCambridge University PressData-Centric Engineering2632-67362024-01-01510.1017/dce.2024.40On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditionsMike Diessner0https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9838-0862Kevin J. Wilson1Richard D. Whalley2School of Computing, Newcastle University, Urban Science Building, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomSchool of Mathematics, Statistics and Physics, Newcastle University, Herschel Building, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomSchool of Engineering, Newcastle University, Stephenson Building, Newcastle upon Tyne, United KingdomExperiments in engineering are typically conducted in controlled environments where parameters can be set to any desired value. This assumes that the same applies in a real-world setting, which is often incorrect as many experiments are influenced by uncontrollable environmental conditions such as temperature, humidity, and wind speed. When optimizing such experiments, the focus should be on finding optimal values conditionally on these uncontrollable variables. This article extends Bayesian optimization to the optimization of systems in changing environments that include controllable and uncontrollable parameters. The extension fits a global surrogate model over all controllable and environmental variables but optimizes only the controllable parameters conditional on measurements of the uncontrollable variables. The method is validated on two synthetic test functions, and the effects of the noise level, the number of environmental parameters, the parameter fluctuation, the variability of the uncontrollable parameters, and the effective domain size are investigated. ENVBO, the proposed algorithm from this investigation, is applied to a wind farm simulator with eight controllable and one environmental parameter. ENVBO finds solutions for the entire domain of the environmental variable that outperform results from optimization algorithms that only focus on a fixed environmental value in all but one case while using a fraction of their evaluation budget. This makes the proposed approach very sample-efficient and cost-effective. An off-the-shelf open-source version of ENVBO is available via the NUBO Python package.https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673624000406/type/journal_articleBayesian optimizationblack-box optimizationcomputer emulatorGaussian processeswind farm optimization
spellingShingle Mike Diessner
Kevin J. Wilson
Richard D. Whalley
On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
Data-Centric Engineering
Bayesian optimization
black-box optimization
computer emulator
Gaussian processes
wind farm optimization
title On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
title_full On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
title_fullStr On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
title_full_unstemmed On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
title_short On the development of a practical Bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
title_sort on the development of a practical bayesian optimization algorithm for expensive experiments and simulations with changing environmental conditions
topic Bayesian optimization
black-box optimization
computer emulator
Gaussian processes
wind farm optimization
url https://www.cambridge.org/core/product/identifier/S2632673624000406/type/journal_article
work_keys_str_mv AT mikediessner onthedevelopmentofapracticalbayesianoptimizationalgorithmforexpensiveexperimentsandsimulationswithchangingenvironmentalconditions
AT kevinjwilson onthedevelopmentofapracticalbayesianoptimizationalgorithmforexpensiveexperimentsandsimulationswithchangingenvironmentalconditions
AT richarddwhalley onthedevelopmentofapracticalbayesianoptimizationalgorithmforexpensiveexperimentsandsimulationswithchangingenvironmentalconditions