Accounting for uncertainty and variation in accessibility metrics for public transport sketch planning

Accessibility is increasingly used as a metric when evaluating changes to public transport systems. Transit travel times contain variation depending on when one departs relative to when a transit vehicle arrives, and how well transfers are coordinated given a particular timetable. In addition, there...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Matthew Wigginton Conway, Andrew Byrd, Michael van Eggermond
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: University of Minnesota Libraries Publishing 2018-07-01
Series:Journal of Transport and Land Use
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Online Access:https://www.jtlu.org/index.php/jtlu/article/view/1074
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Summary:Accessibility is increasingly used as a metric when evaluating changes to public transport systems. Transit travel times contain variation depending on when one departs relative to when a transit vehicle arrives, and how well transfers are coordinated given a particular timetable. In addition, there is necessarily uncertainty in the value of the accessibility metric during sketch planning processes, due to scenarios which are underspecified because detailed schedule information is not yet available. This article presents a method to extend the concept of "reliable" accessibility to transit to address the first issue, and create confidence intervals and hypothesis tests to address the second.
ISSN:1938-7849