A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece
The objective of this paper is to present a short research about the overall broadband penetration in Greece. In this research, a new empirical deterministic model is proposed for the short-term forecast of the cumulative broadband adoption. The fitting performance of the model is compared with some...
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| Main Authors: | , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Wiley
2011-01-01
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| Series: | Modelling and Simulation in Engineering |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798960 |
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| _version_ | 1849402180752113664 |
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| author | Salpasaranis Konstantinos Stylianakis Vasilios |
| author_facet | Salpasaranis Konstantinos Stylianakis Vasilios |
| author_sort | Salpasaranis Konstantinos |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The objective of this paper is to present a short research about the overall broadband penetration in Greece. In this research, a new empirical deterministic model is proposed for the short-term forecast of the cumulative broadband adoption. The fitting performance of the model is compared with some widely used diffusion models for the cumulative adoption of new telecommunication products, namely, Logistic, Gompertz, Flexible Logistic (FLOG), Box-Cox, Richards, and Bass models. The fitting process is done with broadband penetration official data for Greece. In conclusion, comparing these models with the empirical model, it could be argued that the latter yields well enough statistics indicators for fitting and forecasting performance. It also stresses the need for further research and performance analysis of the model in other more mature broadband markets. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-83c44950770e493ca16be01009b20ab2 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1687-5591 1687-5605 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2011-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Modelling and Simulation in Engineering |
| spelling | doaj-art-83c44950770e493ca16be01009b20ab22025-08-20T03:37:37ZengWileyModelling and Simulation in Engineering1687-55911687-56052011-01-01201110.1155/2011/798960798960A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in GreeceSalpasaranis Konstantinos0Stylianakis Vasilios1Electrical and Computer Engineering Department, University of Patras, Rio, 26500 Patras, GreeceElectrical and Computer Engineering Department, University of Patras, Rio, 26500 Patras, GreeceThe objective of this paper is to present a short research about the overall broadband penetration in Greece. In this research, a new empirical deterministic model is proposed for the short-term forecast of the cumulative broadband adoption. The fitting performance of the model is compared with some widely used diffusion models for the cumulative adoption of new telecommunication products, namely, Logistic, Gompertz, Flexible Logistic (FLOG), Box-Cox, Richards, and Bass models. The fitting process is done with broadband penetration official data for Greece. In conclusion, comparing these models with the empirical model, it could be argued that the latter yields well enough statistics indicators for fitting and forecasting performance. It also stresses the need for further research and performance analysis of the model in other more mature broadband markets.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798960 |
| spellingShingle | Salpasaranis Konstantinos Stylianakis Vasilios A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece Modelling and Simulation in Engineering |
| title | A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece |
| title_full | A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece |
| title_fullStr | A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece |
| title_full_unstemmed | A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece |
| title_short | A New Empirical Model for Short-Term Forecasting of the Broadband Penetration: A Short Research in Greece |
| title_sort | new empirical model for short term forecasting of the broadband penetration a short research in greece |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2011/798960 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT salpasaraniskonstantinos anewempiricalmodelforshorttermforecastingofthebroadbandpenetrationashortresearchingreece AT stylianakisvasilios anewempiricalmodelforshorttermforecastingofthebroadbandpenetrationashortresearchingreece AT salpasaraniskonstantinos newempiricalmodelforshorttermforecastingofthebroadbandpenetrationashortresearchingreece AT stylianakisvasilios newempiricalmodelforshorttermforecastingofthebroadbandpenetrationashortresearchingreece |