Habitat Suitability Shifts of <i>Eucommia ulmoides</i> in Southwest China Under Climate Change Projections
As a Chinese endemic species with dual medicinal–industrial importance, <i>Eucommia ulmoides</i> faces habitat challenges under climate change. Using 21 bioclimatic variables and 704 occurrence records, we modeled current and future (2021–2100) distributions via MaxEnt 3.4.4 and ArcGIS 1...
Saved in:
| Main Authors: | , , , , |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
MDPI AG
2025-04-01
|
| Series: | Biology |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.mdpi.com/2079-7737/14/4/451 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| Summary: | As a Chinese endemic species with dual medicinal–industrial importance, <i>Eucommia ulmoides</i> faces habitat challenges under climate change. Using 21 bioclimatic variables and 704 occurrence records, we modeled current and future (2021–2100) distributions via MaxEnt 3.4.4 and ArcGIS 10.8. The results indicate the following: (1) current optimal habitats cluster in the mid-elevation valleys of Daba–Wuling Mountains (Guizhou–Chongqing core); (2) SSP5-8.5 projections suggest a 19.2% reduction in high-suitability areas by 2081–2100 versus SSP1-2.6; and (3) distribution centroids migrate southward under both scenarios. Our multi-temporal analysis provides actionable intelligence for ex situ conservation and agroforestry planning. |
|---|---|
| ISSN: | 2079-7737 |