Unravelling drivers of the future Mediterranean precipitation paradox during cyclones

Both global climate models and a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled regional climate model project a drying trend across the Mediterranean region, alongside an increase in cyclone-related precipitation. However, only the high-resolution model captures the physical mechanisms driving these chan...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: Marco Chericoni, Giorgia Fosser, Emmanouil Flaounas, Marco Gaetani, Alessandro Anav
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Nature Portfolio 2025-07-01
Series:npj Climate and Atmospheric Science
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-025-01121-w
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Summary:Both global climate models and a high-resolution atmosphere-ocean coupled regional climate model project a drying trend across the Mediterranean region, alongside an increase in cyclone-related precipitation. However, only the high-resolution model captures the physical mechanisms driving these changes across three emission scenarios, namely, enhanced moisture transport processes fuelling cyclone activity. These results highlight the added value of fine-scale modelling for understanding future Mediterranean hydroclimatic extremes.
ISSN:2397-3722