A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass

Factors postulated to predict weight loss after gastric bypass surgery, include race, age, gender, technique, height, and initial weight. This paper contained 1551 gastric bypass patients (85.9% female). Operations were performed by one surgeon (MLO) at community hospitals in Southern California fro...

Full description

Saved in:
Bibliographic Details
Main Authors: John P. Sczepaniak, Milton L. Owens, William Garner, Farouk Dako, Kristin Masukawa, Samuel E. Wilson
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2012-01-01
Series:Journal of Obesity
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/195251
Tags: Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
_version_ 1850214590878580736
author John P. Sczepaniak
Milton L. Owens
William Garner
Farouk Dako
Kristin Masukawa
Samuel E. Wilson
author_facet John P. Sczepaniak
Milton L. Owens
William Garner
Farouk Dako
Kristin Masukawa
Samuel E. Wilson
author_sort John P. Sczepaniak
collection DOAJ
description Factors postulated to predict weight loss after gastric bypass surgery, include race, age, gender, technique, height, and initial weight. This paper contained 1551 gastric bypass patients (85.9% female). Operations were performed by one surgeon (MLO) at community hospitals in Southern California from 1989 to 2008 with 314 being laparoscopic and 1237 open. We created the following equation: In[percent weight] =𝐴𝑡2−𝐵𝑡, where 𝑡 was the time after operation (days) and 𝐴 and 𝐵 are constants. Analysis was completed on R-software. The model fits with 𝑅2 value 0.93 and gives patients a realistic mean target weight with a confidence interval of 95% for the first year. Conclusion. We created a curve predicting weight loss after surgery as a percentage of initial weight. Initial weight was the single most important predictor of weight loss after surgery. Other recorded variables accounted for less than 1% of variability. Unknown factors account for the remaining 6-7%.
format Article
id doaj-art-80aacd4c7c3149e38639df1f220cd90b
institution OA Journals
issn 2090-0708
2090-0716
language English
publishDate 2012-01-01
publisher Wiley
record_format Article
series Journal of Obesity
spelling doaj-art-80aacd4c7c3149e38639df1f220cd90b2025-08-20T02:08:50ZengWileyJournal of Obesity2090-07082090-07162012-01-01201210.1155/2012/195251195251A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric BypassJohn P. Sczepaniak0Milton L. Owens1William Garner2Farouk Dako3Kristin Masukawa4Samuel E. Wilson5Coastal Center for Obesity, Orange, CA 92869, USACoastal Center for Obesity, Orange, CA 92869, USAJohn Sczepaniak Medical Enterprises, San Diego, CA 92115, USAJohn Sczepaniak Medical Enterprises, San Diego, CA 92115, USALong Beach Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Long Beach, CA 90822, USALong Beach Veterans Affairs Medical Center, Long Beach, CA 90822, USAFactors postulated to predict weight loss after gastric bypass surgery, include race, age, gender, technique, height, and initial weight. This paper contained 1551 gastric bypass patients (85.9% female). Operations were performed by one surgeon (MLO) at community hospitals in Southern California from 1989 to 2008 with 314 being laparoscopic and 1237 open. We created the following equation: In[percent weight] =𝐴𝑡2−𝐵𝑡, where 𝑡 was the time after operation (days) and 𝐴 and 𝐵 are constants. Analysis was completed on R-software. The model fits with 𝑅2 value 0.93 and gives patients a realistic mean target weight with a confidence interval of 95% for the first year. Conclusion. We created a curve predicting weight loss after surgery as a percentage of initial weight. Initial weight was the single most important predictor of weight loss after surgery. Other recorded variables accounted for less than 1% of variability. Unknown factors account for the remaining 6-7%.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/195251
spellingShingle John P. Sczepaniak
Milton L. Owens
William Garner
Farouk Dako
Kristin Masukawa
Samuel E. Wilson
A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass
Journal of Obesity
title A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass
title_full A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass
title_fullStr A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass
title_full_unstemmed A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass
title_short A Simpler Method for Predicting Weight Loss in the First Year after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass
title_sort simpler method for predicting weight loss in the first year after roux en y gastric bypass
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2012/195251
work_keys_str_mv AT johnpsczepaniak asimplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT miltonlowens asimplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT williamgarner asimplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT faroukdako asimplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT kristinmasukawa asimplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT samuelewilson asimplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT johnpsczepaniak simplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT miltonlowens simplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT williamgarner simplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT faroukdako simplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT kristinmasukawa simplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass
AT samuelewilson simplermethodforpredictingweightlossinthefirstyearafterrouxenygastricbypass