Classification of shale gas “sweet spot” based on Random Forest machine learning

The classification and identification of shale gas “sweet spot” involves a variety of different factors, which requires personal experience, and is usually time and resources consuming. In order to solve this problem, an efficient and effective classification and identification method for shale gas...

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Bibliographic Details
Main Author: NIE Yunli, GAO Guozhong
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: Editorial Department of Petroleum Reservoir Evaluation and Development 2023-06-01
Series:Youqicang pingjia yu kaifa
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Online Access:https://red.magtech.org.cn/fileup/2095-1426/PDF/1687763795779-1455433064.pdf
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Summary:The classification and identification of shale gas “sweet spot” involves a variety of different factors, which requires personal experience, and is usually time and resources consuming. In order to solve this problem, an efficient and effective classification and identification method for shale gas “sweet spot” based on the Random Forest method is proposed. Firstly, data from ten wells in Changning area are selected and eleven features are selected for “sweet spot” classification by the Kendall correlation. Then, the single decision tree and the Random Forest method are used for the “sweet spot” classification and identification. Finally, the results are verified and the Random Forest parameters are optimized. The experimental results show that although the prediction accuracy of a single decision tree can reach 97.7 %, it shows a trend of overfitting, and the fitting accuracy is greatly reduced by only 70.7 % after pruning. The Random Forest method avoids the disadvantage of the single decision tree method, and the prediction accuracy reaches 98 %. Moreover, the computational cost is low, which can effectively reduce the time loss and save the labor cost. As a result, the proposed Random Forest machine learning method with multi-source information is an effective shale gas “sweet spot” classification and identification method.
ISSN:2095-1426