The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange

After financial crisis in 2008, the effect of crisis spread in the world. Many countries were affected quickly and others slowed in a particular mechanism. Using data of TEPIX from Tehran Stock Exchange and DJI from New York stock Exchange as the main indexes of these two markets, this paper reporte...

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Main Authors: Seyed Gholamreza Jalali Naini, Ahmad Makui, Ehsan Mohebi
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Growing Science 2014-10-01
Series:Management Science Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:http://www.growingscience.com/msl/msl_2014_285.pdf
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author Seyed Gholamreza Jalali Naini
Ahmad Makui
Ehsan Mohebi
author_facet Seyed Gholamreza Jalali Naini
Ahmad Makui
Ehsan Mohebi
author_sort Seyed Gholamreza Jalali Naini
collection DOAJ
description After financial crisis in 2008, the effect of crisis spread in the world. Many countries were affected quickly and others slowed in a particular mechanism. Using data of TEPIX from Tehran Stock Exchange and DJI from New York stock Exchange as the main indexes of these two markets, this paper reported strong evidence of TEPIX’s dependency on DJI after the crisis in a four-week delay. The index level series were non-stationary; therefore, we employed cointegration analysis and error correction vector autoregressions (VAR) techniques to model the interdependencies. To find the best lag time we used a heuristic method and the results surprisingly were the same as the result of applying a VAR model. The results support the hypothesis that financial stress was transmitted from the U.S to Iran primarily through trade and price channels.
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publishDate 2014-10-01
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series Management Science Letters
spelling doaj-art-7f80e2e158b64a39b55eb25c96b37b402025-08-20T02:08:43ZengGrowing ScienceManagement Science Letters1923-29341923-93432014-10-014102229224010.5267/j.msl.2014.9.013The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock ExchangeSeyed Gholamreza Jalali NainiAhmad Makui Ehsan MohebiAfter financial crisis in 2008, the effect of crisis spread in the world. Many countries were affected quickly and others slowed in a particular mechanism. Using data of TEPIX from Tehran Stock Exchange and DJI from New York stock Exchange as the main indexes of these two markets, this paper reported strong evidence of TEPIX’s dependency on DJI after the crisis in a four-week delay. The index level series were non-stationary; therefore, we employed cointegration analysis and error correction vector autoregressions (VAR) techniques to model the interdependencies. To find the best lag time we used a heuristic method and the results surprisingly were the same as the result of applying a VAR model. The results support the hypothesis that financial stress was transmitted from the U.S to Iran primarily through trade and price channels.http://www.growingscience.com/msl/msl_2014_285.pdfFinancial CrisisTransmission MechanismVAR modelLag-correlationSliding trend
spellingShingle Seyed Gholamreza Jalali Naini
Ahmad Makui
Ehsan Mohebi
The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange
Management Science Letters
Financial Crisis
Transmission Mechanism
VAR model
Lag-correlation
Sliding trend
title The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange
title_full The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange
title_fullStr The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange
title_full_unstemmed The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange
title_short The transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to Tehran Stock Exchange
title_sort transmission mechanism of 2008 global financial crisis to tehran stock exchange
topic Financial Crisis
Transmission Mechanism
VAR model
Lag-correlation
Sliding trend
url http://www.growingscience.com/msl/msl_2014_285.pdf
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