Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network

Background Elevated troponin levels are a sensitive biomarker for cardiac injury. The quick and reliable prediction of troponin elevation for patients with chest pain from readily available ECGs may pose a valuable time-saving diagnostic tool during decision-making concerning this patient population...

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Main Authors: Truls Råmunddal, Erik Andersson, Zacharias Mandalenakis, Kristofer Skoglund, Araz Rawshani, Elmir Omerovic, Jan Borén, Petur Petursson, Aidin Rawshani, Peter Lundgren, Christian Dworeck, Lukas Hilgendorf, Vibha Gupta, Charlotta Ljungman, Gustav Smith
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2024-10-01
Series:Open Heart
Online Access:https://openheart.bmj.com/content/11/2/e002937.full
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author Truls Råmunddal
Erik Andersson
Zacharias Mandalenakis
Kristofer Skoglund
Araz Rawshani
Elmir Omerovic
Jan Borén
Petur Petursson
Aidin Rawshani
Peter Lundgren
Christian Dworeck
Lukas Hilgendorf
Vibha Gupta
Charlotta Ljungman
Gustav Smith
author_facet Truls Råmunddal
Erik Andersson
Zacharias Mandalenakis
Kristofer Skoglund
Araz Rawshani
Elmir Omerovic
Jan Borén
Petur Petursson
Aidin Rawshani
Peter Lundgren
Christian Dworeck
Lukas Hilgendorf
Vibha Gupta
Charlotta Ljungman
Gustav Smith
author_sort Truls Råmunddal
collection DOAJ
description Background Elevated troponin levels are a sensitive biomarker for cardiac injury. The quick and reliable prediction of troponin elevation for patients with chest pain from readily available ECGs may pose a valuable time-saving diagnostic tool during decision-making concerning this patient population.Methods and results The data used included 15 856 ECGs from patients presenting to the emergency rooms with chest pain or dyspnoea at two centres in Sweden from 2015 to June 2023. All patients had high-sensitivity troponin test results within 6 hours after 12-lead ECG. Both troponin I (TnI) and TnT were used, with biomarker-specific cut-offs and sex-specific cut-offs for TnI. On this dataset, a residual convolutional neural network (ResNet) was trained 10 times, each on a unique split of the data. The final model achieved an average area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7717 (95% CI±0.0052), calibration curve analysis revealed a mean slope of 1.243 (95% CI±0.075) and intercept of −0.073 (95% CI±0.034), indicating a good correlation between prediction and ground truth. Post-classification, tuned for F1 score, accuracy was 71.43% (95% CI±1.28), with an F1 score of 0.5642 (95% CI±0.0052) and a negative predictive value of 0.8660 (95% CI±0.0048), respectively. The ResNet displayed comparable or surpassing metrics to prior presented models.Conclusion The model exhibited clinically meaningful performance, notably its high negative predictive accuracy. Therefore, clinical use of comparable neural networks in first-line, quick-response triage of patients with chest pain or dyspnoea appears as a valuable option in future medical practice.
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spelling doaj-art-7f50cac17cc74fe38d72da0f369b5ec82025-08-20T01:47:26ZengBMJ Publishing GroupOpen Heart2053-36242024-10-0111210.1136/openhrt-2024-002937Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural networkTruls Råmunddal0Erik Andersson1Zacharias Mandalenakis2Kristofer Skoglund3Araz Rawshani4Elmir Omerovic5Jan Borén6Petur Petursson7Aidin Rawshani8Peter Lundgren9Christian Dworeck10Lukas Hilgendorf11Vibha Gupta12Charlotta Ljungman13Gustav Smith14Department of Cardiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Cardiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Cardiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Molecular and Clinical Medicine, University of Gothenburg, Goteborg, SwedenDepartment of Cardiology, Sahlgrenska University Hospital, Goteborg, SwedenBackground Elevated troponin levels are a sensitive biomarker for cardiac injury. The quick and reliable prediction of troponin elevation for patients with chest pain from readily available ECGs may pose a valuable time-saving diagnostic tool during decision-making concerning this patient population.Methods and results The data used included 15 856 ECGs from patients presenting to the emergency rooms with chest pain or dyspnoea at two centres in Sweden from 2015 to June 2023. All patients had high-sensitivity troponin test results within 6 hours after 12-lead ECG. Both troponin I (TnI) and TnT were used, with biomarker-specific cut-offs and sex-specific cut-offs for TnI. On this dataset, a residual convolutional neural network (ResNet) was trained 10 times, each on a unique split of the data. The final model achieved an average area under the curve for the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.7717 (95% CI±0.0052), calibration curve analysis revealed a mean slope of 1.243 (95% CI±0.075) and intercept of −0.073 (95% CI±0.034), indicating a good correlation between prediction and ground truth. Post-classification, tuned for F1 score, accuracy was 71.43% (95% CI±1.28), with an F1 score of 0.5642 (95% CI±0.0052) and a negative predictive value of 0.8660 (95% CI±0.0048), respectively. The ResNet displayed comparable or surpassing metrics to prior presented models.Conclusion The model exhibited clinically meaningful performance, notably its high negative predictive accuracy. Therefore, clinical use of comparable neural networks in first-line, quick-response triage of patients with chest pain or dyspnoea appears as a valuable option in future medical practice.https://openheart.bmj.com/content/11/2/e002937.full
spellingShingle Truls Råmunddal
Erik Andersson
Zacharias Mandalenakis
Kristofer Skoglund
Araz Rawshani
Elmir Omerovic
Jan Borén
Petur Petursson
Aidin Rawshani
Peter Lundgren
Christian Dworeck
Lukas Hilgendorf
Vibha Gupta
Charlotta Ljungman
Gustav Smith
Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
Open Heart
title Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
title_full Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
title_fullStr Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
title_full_unstemmed Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
title_short Predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
title_sort predicting troponin biomarker elevation from electrocardiograms using a deep neural network
url https://openheart.bmj.com/content/11/2/e002937.full
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