Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century

Since the 21st century, large-scale afforestation projects on the Loess Plateau have resulted in significant vegetation greening, contributing to ecosystem restoration and enhanced soil conservation. However, these efforts have also led to soil aridification, declining groundwater levels, and reduce...

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Main Authors: Qiaoyin Tan, Ting Hua, Haichen Zhao, Peiye Zhou
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-01-01
Series:Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2025.1513189/full
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author Qiaoyin Tan
Ting Hua
Ting Hua
Haichen Zhao
Peiye Zhou
Peiye Zhou
author_facet Qiaoyin Tan
Ting Hua
Ting Hua
Haichen Zhao
Peiye Zhou
Peiye Zhou
author_sort Qiaoyin Tan
collection DOAJ
description Since the 21st century, large-scale afforestation projects on the Loess Plateau have resulted in significant vegetation greening, contributing to ecosystem restoration and enhanced soil conservation. However, these efforts have also led to soil aridification, declining groundwater levels, and reduced terrestrial water storage. These negative consequences are primarily attributed to increases in evapotranspiration (ET), which has augmented water consumption. Despite these findings, the underlying mechanisms driving ET variations remain contentious due to the complex interplay of multiple factors. In this study, we employed a logical attribution method, which attributes vegetation changes predominantly to anthropogenic activities (e.g., reforestation or land-use changes), while directly linking changes in climatic factors (e.g., temperature and precipitation) to climate change. We separately examined the contributions of long-term trends and interannual variability in ET to reveal distinct driving forces. Between 2000 and 2022, approximately 80% of areas showing significant changes in ET and its components were directly influenced by vegetation greening, particularly in the central part of the Loess Plateau, where restoration efforts were most prominent. In contrast, only around 20% of these changes were attributable to climate change and other factors. After removing long-term trends, interannual variations in ET were found to be more closely associated with climatic factors (temperature and precipitation), especially in arid and semi-arid regions. This indicates that climate is the dominant factor driving interannual variations in ET across the Loess Plateau. Our findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the water cycle dynamics in the context of large-scale vegetation restoration on the Loess Plateau. These insights provide a scientific foundation for policymakers to evaluate the environmental impacts and potential water-related risks associated with ecological restoration projects.
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spelling doaj-art-7f06b254d1db463c972783de7f26ccaa2025-01-31T06:39:57ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution2296-701X2025-01-011310.3389/fevo.2025.15131891513189Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st centuryQiaoyin Tan0Ting Hua1Ting Hua2Haichen Zhao3Peiye Zhou4Peiye Zhou5Shaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an, ChinaShaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an, ChinaInstitute of Earth and Surface System and Hazards, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an, ChinaShaanxi Key Laboratory of Earth Surface System and Environmental Carrying Capacity, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Northwest University, Xi’an, ChinaKey Laboratory of Ecological Safety and Sustainable Development in Arid Lands, Northwest Institute of Eco-Environment and Resources, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Lanzhou, ChinaCollege of Resources and Environment, University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, ChinaSince the 21st century, large-scale afforestation projects on the Loess Plateau have resulted in significant vegetation greening, contributing to ecosystem restoration and enhanced soil conservation. However, these efforts have also led to soil aridification, declining groundwater levels, and reduced terrestrial water storage. These negative consequences are primarily attributed to increases in evapotranspiration (ET), which has augmented water consumption. Despite these findings, the underlying mechanisms driving ET variations remain contentious due to the complex interplay of multiple factors. In this study, we employed a logical attribution method, which attributes vegetation changes predominantly to anthropogenic activities (e.g., reforestation or land-use changes), while directly linking changes in climatic factors (e.g., temperature and precipitation) to climate change. We separately examined the contributions of long-term trends and interannual variability in ET to reveal distinct driving forces. Between 2000 and 2022, approximately 80% of areas showing significant changes in ET and its components were directly influenced by vegetation greening, particularly in the central part of the Loess Plateau, where restoration efforts were most prominent. In contrast, only around 20% of these changes were attributable to climate change and other factors. After removing long-term trends, interannual variations in ET were found to be more closely associated with climatic factors (temperature and precipitation), especially in arid and semi-arid regions. This indicates that climate is the dominant factor driving interannual variations in ET across the Loess Plateau. Our findings contribute to a deeper understanding of the water cycle dynamics in the context of large-scale vegetation restoration on the Loess Plateau. These insights provide a scientific foundation for policymakers to evaluate the environmental impacts and potential water-related risks associated with ecological restoration projects.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2025.1513189/fullevapotranspirationvegetation greeningclimatic factorsLoess Plateaulong term trendsinterannual variability
spellingShingle Qiaoyin Tan
Ting Hua
Ting Hua
Haichen Zhao
Peiye Zhou
Peiye Zhou
Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century
Frontiers in Ecology and Evolution
evapotranspiration
vegetation greening
climatic factors
Loess Plateau
long term trends
interannual variability
title Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century
title_full Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century
title_fullStr Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century
title_full_unstemmed Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century
title_short Vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long-term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the Loess Plateau since the 21st century
title_sort vegetation greening and climate change respectively regulates the long term trend and interannual variability in evapotranspiration over the loess plateau since the 21st century
topic evapotranspiration
vegetation greening
climatic factors
Loess Plateau
long term trends
interannual variability
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fevo.2025.1513189/full
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