A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models
To explore the epidemic mode of COVID-19, we made an epidemiological investigation, set up hypothetical models, and compared them with hepatitis A virus (HAV) age-specific epidemic characteristic. In the epidemiological investigation, we reported the first familial COVID-19 silent infection in the w...
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| Main Authors: | , , , , |
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
| Published: |
Wiley
2020-01-01
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| Series: | Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology |
| Online Access: | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5120253 |
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| _version_ | 1832550984797126656 |
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| author | Jianping Geng Jun Yu Tao Lu Yinhe Wang Yang Cao |
| author_facet | Jianping Geng Jun Yu Tao Lu Yinhe Wang Yang Cao |
| author_sort | Jianping Geng |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | To explore the epidemic mode of COVID-19, we made an epidemiological investigation, set up hypothetical models, and compared them with hepatitis A virus (HAV) age-specific epidemic characteristic. In the epidemiological investigation, we reported the first familial COVID-19 silent infection in the world. A 19-year-old healthy female COVID-19 virus carrier without any symptoms caused two mild and one severe pneumonia. In hypothetical models, the silent infection rate ranges from 60% to 80% based on 3 sources: China mainland, evacuation of 4 nationals, and the ship “Diamond Princess,” respectively. In comparison with HAV, COVID-19 shows the same infection mode in children (aged 0–9 years), but significant difference in young adults (aged 10–44 years) and the elderly (aged 45 years or older). Therefore, we prejudged that COVID-19 is a silent infection pandemic mainly in young adults but threatens the elderly. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-7e7fb3519b174e7ca17db4992912aacb |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 1712-9532 1918-1493 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2020-01-01 |
| publisher | Wiley |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology |
| spelling | doaj-art-7e7fb3519b174e7ca17db4992912aacb2025-02-03T06:05:12ZengWileyCanadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology1712-95321918-14932020-01-01202010.1155/2020/51202535120253A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical ModelsJianping Geng0Jun Yu1Tao Lu2Yinhe Wang3Yang Cao4Xi’an International Medical Center Hospital, Xi’an 710100, Shannxi, ChinaXi’an International Medical Center Hospital, Xi’an 710100, Shannxi, ChinaXi’an International Medical Center Hospital, Xi’an 710100, Shannxi, ChinaNanjing Drum Tower Hospital Affiliated to Nanjing University School of Medicine, Nanjing 210008, ChinaClinical Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Medical Sciences, Örebro University, Örebro 70182, SwedenTo explore the epidemic mode of COVID-19, we made an epidemiological investigation, set up hypothetical models, and compared them with hepatitis A virus (HAV) age-specific epidemic characteristic. In the epidemiological investigation, we reported the first familial COVID-19 silent infection in the world. A 19-year-old healthy female COVID-19 virus carrier without any symptoms caused two mild and one severe pneumonia. In hypothetical models, the silent infection rate ranges from 60% to 80% based on 3 sources: China mainland, evacuation of 4 nationals, and the ship “Diamond Princess,” respectively. In comparison with HAV, COVID-19 shows the same infection mode in children (aged 0–9 years), but significant difference in young adults (aged 10–44 years) and the elderly (aged 45 years or older). Therefore, we prejudged that COVID-19 is a silent infection pandemic mainly in young adults but threatens the elderly.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5120253 |
| spellingShingle | Jianping Geng Jun Yu Tao Lu Yinhe Wang Yang Cao A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models Canadian Journal of Infectious Diseases and Medical Microbiology |
| title | A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models |
| title_full | A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models |
| title_fullStr | A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models |
| title_full_unstemmed | A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models |
| title_short | A Silent Infection Pandemic of COVID-19: Epidemiological Investigation and Hypothetical Models |
| title_sort | silent infection pandemic of covid 19 epidemiological investigation and hypothetical models |
| url | http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2020/5120253 |
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