Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects

IntroductionWhen a life science project is identified as potential dual use research of concern (DURC), United States government policy and biorisk management professionals recommend conducting a risk assessment of the project and using its results to choose strategies to manage any associated risks...

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Main Authors: Daniel Greene, Tessa Alexanian , Megan J. Palmer 
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Frontiers Media S.A. 2025-08-01
Series:Frontiers in Bioengineering and Biotechnology
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Online Access:https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbioe.2025.1620678/full
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author Daniel Greene
Tessa Alexanian 
Megan J. Palmer 
Megan J. Palmer 
author_facet Daniel Greene
Tessa Alexanian 
Megan J. Palmer 
Megan J. Palmer 
author_sort Daniel Greene
collection DOAJ
description IntroductionWhen a life science project is identified as potential dual use research of concern (DURC), United States government policy and biorisk management professionals recommend conducting a risk assessment of the project and using its results to choose strategies to manage any associated risks. However, there is little empirical research on how real-world projects score on DURC assessments, the extent to which reviewers agree or disagree about risks for a given project, or how risk judgments map to recommended risk management strategies. By studying the process of DURC risk assessment, it may be possible to develop methods that are more consistent, accurate, and cost-effective.MethodsUsing a modified version of the framework in the Companion Guide to the United States Government Policies for Oversight of Life Sciences Dual Use Research of Concern, we elicited detailed reviews from 18 experienced DURC reviewers and 49 synthetic biology students of the risks, benefits, and recommended risk management strategies for four real-world synthetic biology projects.ResultsWe found significant variation among experts, as well as between experts and students, in both perceived DURC risk and recommended risk management strategies. For some projects, expert risk assessments spanned 4 out of 5 possible ratings. We found substantial disagreement between participants about the appropriate actions to take to manage the DURC risks of each project.DiscussionThe observed variation in participants’ judgments suggests that decisions for similar projects may vary significantly across institutions, exposing the public to inconsistent standards of risk management. We provide several research-based suggestions to reduce reviewer disagreement and manage risk more efficiently when reviewers disagree.
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spelling doaj-art-7ddcd83ae7554da6b6fdba4d6e8926162025-08-20T03:05:03ZengFrontiers Media S.A.Frontiers in Bioengineering and Biotechnology2296-41852025-08-011310.3389/fbioe.2025.16206781620678Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projectsDaniel Greene0Tessa Alexanian 1Megan J. Palmer 2Megan J. Palmer 3Center for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United StatesiGEM Foundation, Paris, FranceCenter for International Security and Cooperation, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United StatesDepartment of Bioengineering, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, United StatesIntroductionWhen a life science project is identified as potential dual use research of concern (DURC), United States government policy and biorisk management professionals recommend conducting a risk assessment of the project and using its results to choose strategies to manage any associated risks. However, there is little empirical research on how real-world projects score on DURC assessments, the extent to which reviewers agree or disagree about risks for a given project, or how risk judgments map to recommended risk management strategies. By studying the process of DURC risk assessment, it may be possible to develop methods that are more consistent, accurate, and cost-effective.MethodsUsing a modified version of the framework in the Companion Guide to the United States Government Policies for Oversight of Life Sciences Dual Use Research of Concern, we elicited detailed reviews from 18 experienced DURC reviewers and 49 synthetic biology students of the risks, benefits, and recommended risk management strategies for four real-world synthetic biology projects.ResultsWe found significant variation among experts, as well as between experts and students, in both perceived DURC risk and recommended risk management strategies. For some projects, expert risk assessments spanned 4 out of 5 possible ratings. We found substantial disagreement between participants about the appropriate actions to take to manage the DURC risks of each project.DiscussionThe observed variation in participants’ judgments suggests that decisions for similar projects may vary significantly across institutions, exposing the public to inconsistent standards of risk management. We provide several research-based suggestions to reduce reviewer disagreement and manage risk more efficiently when reviewers disagree.https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbioe.2025.1620678/fulldual use research of concern (DURC)biosafetybiosecuritysynthetic biologybiotechnologyrisk assessment
spellingShingle Daniel Greene
Tessa Alexanian 
Megan J. Palmer 
Megan J. Palmer 
Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
Frontiers in Bioengineering and Biotechnology
dual use research of concern (DURC)
biosafety
biosecurity
synthetic biology
biotechnology
risk assessment
title Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
title_full Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
title_fullStr Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
title_full_unstemmed Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
title_short Mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
title_sort mapping variation in dual use risk assessments of synthetic biology projects
topic dual use research of concern (DURC)
biosafety
biosecurity
synthetic biology
biotechnology
risk assessment
url https://www.frontiersin.org/articles/10.3389/fbioe.2025.1620678/full
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AT tessaalexanian mappingvariationindualuseriskassessmentsofsyntheticbiologyprojects
AT meganjpalmer mappingvariationindualuseriskassessmentsofsyntheticbiologyprojects
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