Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model

A short-term load forecasting method based on feature selection and combination model is proposed. At first, the method divides the feature vectors into two sets according to the individual characteristics. Spearman rank-order correlation coefficient and max-relevance & min-redundancy algorithm...

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Main Authors: Yusong XU, Shanhua ZOU, Xianling LU
Format: Article
Language:zho
Published: State Grid Energy Research Institute 2022-07-01
Series:Zhongguo dianli
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202111045
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author Yusong XU
Shanhua ZOU
Xianling LU
author_facet Yusong XU
Shanhua ZOU
Xianling LU
author_sort Yusong XU
collection DOAJ
description A short-term load forecasting method based on feature selection and combination model is proposed. At first, the method divides the feature vectors into two sets according to the individual characteristics. Spearman rank-order correlation coefficient and max-relevance & min-redundancy algorithm are individually employed for selection. Bayesian information criterion is used to get the dimension of the optimal feature vector. And then, three different simple-kernel based support vector regression models are built using three kernel functions respectively and complete prediction. Finally, a neural network is set up for experimental analysis. The simulation results show that the proposed combination model has a great high forecasting accuracy and robustness.
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publisher State Grid Energy Research Institute
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series Zhongguo dianli
spelling doaj-art-7da795b8acf141eaa673ace8b19b662a2025-08-20T02:05:19ZzhoState Grid Energy Research InstituteZhongguo dianli1004-96492022-07-0155712112710.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202111045zgdl-55-06-xuyusongShort-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination ModelYusong XU0Shanhua ZOU1Xianling LU2Key Laboratory of Advanced Process Control for Light Industry of Ministry of Education, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, ChinaJiangsu Key Construction Laboratory of IoT Application Technology, Wuxi 214100, ChinaKey Laboratory of Advanced Process Control for Light Industry of Ministry of Education, Jiangnan University, Wuxi 214122, ChinaA short-term load forecasting method based on feature selection and combination model is proposed. At first, the method divides the feature vectors into two sets according to the individual characteristics. Spearman rank-order correlation coefficient and max-relevance & min-redundancy algorithm are individually employed for selection. Bayesian information criterion is used to get the dimension of the optimal feature vector. And then, three different simple-kernel based support vector regression models are built using three kernel functions respectively and complete prediction. Finally, a neural network is set up for experimental analysis. The simulation results show that the proposed combination model has a great high forecasting accuracy and robustness.https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202111045short-term load forecastingsupport vector regressionshallow neural networkcombination model
spellingShingle Yusong XU
Shanhua ZOU
Xianling LU
Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model
Zhongguo dianli
short-term load forecasting
support vector regression
shallow neural network
combination model
title Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model
title_full Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model
title_fullStr Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model
title_full_unstemmed Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model
title_short Short-Term Load Forecasting Based on Feature Selection and Combination Model
title_sort short term load forecasting based on feature selection and combination model
topic short-term load forecasting
support vector regression
shallow neural network
combination model
url https://www.electricpower.com.cn/CN/10.11930/j.issn.1004-9649.202111045
work_keys_str_mv AT yusongxu shorttermloadforecastingbasedonfeatureselectionandcombinationmodel
AT shanhuazou shorttermloadforecastingbasedonfeatureselectionandcombinationmodel
AT xianlinglu shorttermloadforecastingbasedonfeatureselectionandcombinationmodel