Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users

Encouraging car users who travel short distances to shift from car mode to active travel modes can effectively alleviate urban traffic congestion and reduce carbon emissions. However, few studies have examined the determinants of the travel mode choice of short-distance car users and ignored the non...

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Main Authors: Mingwei He, Lijuan Pu, Yang Liu, Zhuangbin Shi, Chengfeng He, Jiayou Lei
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2022-01-01
Series:Journal of Advanced Transportation
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8598320
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author Mingwei He
Lijuan Pu
Yang Liu
Zhuangbin Shi
Chengfeng He
Jiayou Lei
author_facet Mingwei He
Lijuan Pu
Yang Liu
Zhuangbin Shi
Chengfeng He
Jiayou Lei
author_sort Mingwei He
collection DOAJ
description Encouraging car users who travel short distances to shift from car mode to active travel modes can effectively alleviate urban traffic congestion and reduce carbon emissions. However, few studies have examined the determinants of the travel mode choice of short-distance car users and ignored the nonlinear associations and interactions between variables. This paper conducts a questionnaire survey to investigate the short-distance travel mode choice of car users who travel less than 4 km in a specific city. A random forest (RF) model is applied to examine the influence of key variables on these three travel mode choices of short-distance car users and to explore the nonlinear associations and interactions of the variables. Compared with multinomial logic model, the results of RF show that significant threshold effects exist in the relationship between the car user’s travel mode choice and the selected explanatory variables, mainly travel distance, road network density, distance to CBD, and number of bus stops. In particular, 1.2 km is a critical turning point for car and active travel mode choice, before which car users prefer to travel by walking and cycling and after which there is a significant increase in the car use probability. When the road network density was between 2.5 km/km2 and 6.5 km/km2, the proportion of car users who chose cycling showed an increasing trend, while car use showed a decreasing trend. These findings can provide a solid basis for planning managers to develop policy measures to encourage environmentally sustainable travel.
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issn 2042-3195
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publishDate 2022-01-01
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series Journal of Advanced Transportation
spelling doaj-art-7d3e8f5965e3458cb81a822e99dbeed82025-08-20T03:35:28ZengWileyJournal of Advanced Transportation2042-31952022-01-01202210.1155/2022/8598320Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car UsersMingwei He0Lijuan Pu1Yang Liu2Zhuangbin Shi3Chengfeng He4Jiayou Lei5Faculty of Transportation EngineeringFaculty of Transportation EngineeringFaculty of Transportation EngineeringFaculty of Transportation EngineeringFaculty of Transportation EngineeringFaculty of Transportation EngineeringEncouraging car users who travel short distances to shift from car mode to active travel modes can effectively alleviate urban traffic congestion and reduce carbon emissions. However, few studies have examined the determinants of the travel mode choice of short-distance car users and ignored the nonlinear associations and interactions between variables. This paper conducts a questionnaire survey to investigate the short-distance travel mode choice of car users who travel less than 4 km in a specific city. A random forest (RF) model is applied to examine the influence of key variables on these three travel mode choices of short-distance car users and to explore the nonlinear associations and interactions of the variables. Compared with multinomial logic model, the results of RF show that significant threshold effects exist in the relationship between the car user’s travel mode choice and the selected explanatory variables, mainly travel distance, road network density, distance to CBD, and number of bus stops. In particular, 1.2 km is a critical turning point for car and active travel mode choice, before which car users prefer to travel by walking and cycling and after which there is a significant increase in the car use probability. When the road network density was between 2.5 km/km2 and 6.5 km/km2, the proportion of car users who chose cycling showed an increasing trend, while car use showed a decreasing trend. These findings can provide a solid basis for planning managers to develop policy measures to encourage environmentally sustainable travel.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8598320
spellingShingle Mingwei He
Lijuan Pu
Yang Liu
Zhuangbin Shi
Chengfeng He
Jiayou Lei
Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users
Journal of Advanced Transportation
title Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users
title_full Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users
title_fullStr Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users
title_full_unstemmed Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users
title_short Research on Nonlinear Associations and Interactions for Short-Distance Travel Mode Choice of Car Users
title_sort research on nonlinear associations and interactions for short distance travel mode choice of car users
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/8598320
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