Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach

This study evaluates the link between economic voting and electoral behavior in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections. This study is grounded in both selective perception and economic voting theories, examining how different independent factors could interact with electoral behavior. In this r...

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Main Authors: Silviu Grecu, Simona Vranceanu, Horia Chiriac
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Social Sciences
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/14/4/226
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author Silviu Grecu
Simona Vranceanu
Horia Chiriac
author_facet Silviu Grecu
Simona Vranceanu
Horia Chiriac
author_sort Silviu Grecu
collection DOAJ
description This study evaluates the link between economic voting and electoral behavior in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections. This study is grounded in both selective perception and economic voting theories, examining how different independent factors could interact with electoral behavior. In this regard, the research aims to achieve several research directions: (i) the evaluation of the statistical differences in voters’ turnout in 2024 EP elections by geographical regions; (ii) the analysis of the interaction between voters’ perceptions of the current or future economic situations and voter turnout; (iii) the analysis of the interaction between objective economic conditions and electoral behavior. Using both multiple linear regression and logistic models, the study highlights that voter turnout and incumbent party reelection are significantly related to voters’ perceptions of the current or future state of the national economy. The results reveal that regional differences in voter turnout are largely explained by significant differences in voters’ economic perceptions, while the decision to vote for the incumbent party is driven by future economic expectations. The empirical findings underscore the pivotal role played by subjective perceptions in shaping electoral behavior, illustrating that political attitudes and behaviors are derived from personal interpretation of the national economic situations. Beyond theoretical perspectives that highlight the link between psychological processes and voting, the paper might have several practical implications for academics or decision makers interested in the field of electoral behavior.
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spelling doaj-art-7d0d9cf0f3d0404093cab57545f1f4b32025-08-20T02:18:10ZengMDPI AGSocial Sciences2076-07602025-04-0114422610.3390/socsci14040226Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative ApproachSilviu Grecu0Simona Vranceanu1Horia Chiriac2Department of Political Sciences, International Relations and European Studies, “Al.I.Cuza” University of Iași, 700506 Iasi, RomaniaDepartment of Political Sciences, International Relations and European Studies, “Al.I.Cuza” University of Iași, 700506 Iasi, RomaniaDepartment of Communication Sciences and Public Relations, “Al.I.Cuza” University of Iași, 700506 Iasi, RomaniaThis study evaluates the link between economic voting and electoral behavior in the 2024 European Parliament (EP) elections. This study is grounded in both selective perception and economic voting theories, examining how different independent factors could interact with electoral behavior. In this regard, the research aims to achieve several research directions: (i) the evaluation of the statistical differences in voters’ turnout in 2024 EP elections by geographical regions; (ii) the analysis of the interaction between voters’ perceptions of the current or future economic situations and voter turnout; (iii) the analysis of the interaction between objective economic conditions and electoral behavior. Using both multiple linear regression and logistic models, the study highlights that voter turnout and incumbent party reelection are significantly related to voters’ perceptions of the current or future state of the national economy. The results reveal that regional differences in voter turnout are largely explained by significant differences in voters’ economic perceptions, while the decision to vote for the incumbent party is driven by future economic expectations. The empirical findings underscore the pivotal role played by subjective perceptions in shaping electoral behavior, illustrating that political attitudes and behaviors are derived from personal interpretation of the national economic situations. Beyond theoretical perspectives that highlight the link between psychological processes and voting, the paper might have several practical implications for academics or decision makers interested in the field of electoral behavior.https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/14/4/226electoral behaviorperceptionobjective economic factorssubjective economic factorseconomic expectations
spellingShingle Silviu Grecu
Simona Vranceanu
Horia Chiriac
Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach
Social Sciences
electoral behavior
perception
objective economic factors
subjective economic factors
economic expectations
title Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach
title_full Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach
title_fullStr Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach
title_full_unstemmed Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach
title_short Economic Voting and Electoral Behavior in 2024 European Parliament Elections: A Quantitative Approach
title_sort economic voting and electoral behavior in 2024 european parliament elections a quantitative approach
topic electoral behavior
perception
objective economic factors
subjective economic factors
economic expectations
url https://www.mdpi.com/2076-0760/14/4/226
work_keys_str_mv AT silviugrecu economicvotingandelectoralbehaviorin2024europeanparliamentelectionsaquantitativeapproach
AT simonavranceanu economicvotingandelectoralbehaviorin2024europeanparliamentelectionsaquantitativeapproach
AT horiachiriac economicvotingandelectoralbehaviorin2024europeanparliamentelectionsaquantitativeapproach