Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction

Accurate stock prediction plays an important role in financial markets and can aid investors in making well-informed decisions and optimizing their investment strategies. Relationships exist among stocks in the market, leading to high correlation in their prices. Recently, several methods have been...

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Main Authors: Ying Li, Xiaosha Xue, Zhipeng Liu, Peibo Duan, Bin Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2024-11-01
Series:Information
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Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/15/12/743
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author Ying Li
Xiaosha Xue
Zhipeng Liu
Peibo Duan
Bin Zhang
author_facet Ying Li
Xiaosha Xue
Zhipeng Liu
Peibo Duan
Bin Zhang
author_sort Ying Li
collection DOAJ
description Accurate stock prediction plays an important role in financial markets and can aid investors in making well-informed decisions and optimizing their investment strategies. Relationships exist among stocks in the market, leading to high correlation in their prices. Recently, several methods have been proposed to mine such relationships in order to enhance forecasting results. However, previous works have focused on exploring the correlations among stocks while neglecting the causal characteristics, thereby restricting the predictive performance. Furthermore, due to the diversity of relationships, existing methods are unable to handle both dynamic and static relationships simultaneously. To address the limitations of prior research, we introduce a novel stock trend forecasting framework capable of mining the causal relationships that affect changes in companies’ stock prices and simultaneously extracts both dynamic and static features to enhance the forecasting performance. Extensive experimental results in the Chinese stock market demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves obvious improvement against multiple state-of-the-art approaches.
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institution DOAJ
issn 2078-2489
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publishDate 2024-11-01
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spelling doaj-art-7ccbbf2d610b46b688b3eb6e816ae5572025-08-20T02:50:59ZengMDPI AGInformation2078-24892024-11-01151274310.3390/info15120743Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock PredictionYing Li0Xiaosha Xue1Zhipeng Liu2Peibo Duan3Bin Zhang4College of Software, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Software, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Software, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Software, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaCollege of Software, Northeastern University, Shenyang 110819, ChinaAccurate stock prediction plays an important role in financial markets and can aid investors in making well-informed decisions and optimizing their investment strategies. Relationships exist among stocks in the market, leading to high correlation in their prices. Recently, several methods have been proposed to mine such relationships in order to enhance forecasting results. However, previous works have focused on exploring the correlations among stocks while neglecting the causal characteristics, thereby restricting the predictive performance. Furthermore, due to the diversity of relationships, existing methods are unable to handle both dynamic and static relationships simultaneously. To address the limitations of prior research, we introduce a novel stock trend forecasting framework capable of mining the causal relationships that affect changes in companies’ stock prices and simultaneously extracts both dynamic and static features to enhance the forecasting performance. Extensive experimental results in the Chinese stock market demonstrate that the proposed framework achieves obvious improvement against multiple state-of-the-art approaches.https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/15/12/743stock predictiongraph neural networksGranger causality
spellingShingle Ying Li
Xiaosha Xue
Zhipeng Liu
Peibo Duan
Bin Zhang
Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction
Information
stock prediction
graph neural networks
Granger causality
title Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction
title_full Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction
title_fullStr Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction
title_full_unstemmed Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction
title_short Implicit-Causality-Exploration-Enabled Graph Neural Network for Stock Prediction
title_sort implicit causality exploration enabled graph neural network for stock prediction
topic stock prediction
graph neural networks
Granger causality
url https://www.mdpi.com/2078-2489/15/12/743
work_keys_str_mv AT yingli implicitcausalityexplorationenabledgraphneuralnetworkforstockprediction
AT xiaoshaxue implicitcausalityexplorationenabledgraphneuralnetworkforstockprediction
AT zhipengliu implicitcausalityexplorationenabledgraphneuralnetworkforstockprediction
AT peiboduan implicitcausalityexplorationenabledgraphneuralnetworkforstockprediction
AT binzhang implicitcausalityexplorationenabledgraphneuralnetworkforstockprediction