Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan

Abstract Climate change has been proven to have adverse effects on human health and ecosystems, especially, the continuous increase in greenhouse gas emissions that are able to drive extreme weather events around the world. Besides greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution also have a mutual relati...

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Main Authors: Hsin-Chih Lai, Shih-Ming Chung, Li-Ling Li, Wen-Yinn Lin, Min-Chuan Hsiao
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Springer 2024-05-01
Series:Aerosol and Air Quality Research
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230268
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author Hsin-Chih Lai
Shih-Ming Chung
Li-Ling Li
Wen-Yinn Lin
Min-Chuan Hsiao
author_facet Hsin-Chih Lai
Shih-Ming Chung
Li-Ling Li
Wen-Yinn Lin
Min-Chuan Hsiao
author_sort Hsin-Chih Lai
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Climate change has been proven to have adverse effects on human health and ecosystems, especially, the continuous increase in greenhouse gas emissions that are able to drive extreme weather events around the world. Besides greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution also have a mutual relationship. The PM2.5 concentration has been decreasing year by year, but the ozone concentration has been slowly increasing, indicating that ozone issues will be a focus of concern in Taiwan in the future. Therefore, this study focuses on air pollution and its health impacts on power generation on climate change scenario. The air quality in 2050 was estimated in this study by using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) model and the Weather Research and Forecasting-Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling (WRF-CMAQ) system. The future power plants’ emissions were calculated by historical inventory and the power generation from 2010 to 2016. The simulation results revealed the low-carbon path in the electricity industry can lead to some improvements in air quality and also the associated health benefits. This study demonstrates that implementing carbon reduction strategies in the power sector would lead to a slight increase in ozone concentration. In detail, the annual PM2.5 concentrations would decrease by 0.7 µg m–3 (4%) from BAU (Business As Usual) scenario, while the O3 concentrations would have an increase of 0.3 ppb (1%). The reduction of air pollution can prevent 1012 (374–2463) deaths, saving around 48.9 billion NTD in health monetary costs. In the short term, it is projected that there may be a decrease of 45 patients hospitalized due to respiratory diseases and 53 patients hospitalized due to cardiovascular diseases. Moreover, the reductions in the power sector are expected to have more significant impacts in densely populated areas due to their combination of industrial and residential zones.
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issn 1680-8584
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series Aerosol and Air Quality Research
spelling doaj-art-7cc2ec4b153146529596604e04aff2762025-02-09T12:24:03ZengSpringerAerosol and Air Quality Research1680-85842071-14092024-05-0124711510.4209/aaqr.230268Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in TaiwanHsin-Chih Lai0Shih-Ming Chung1Li-Ling Li2Wen-Yinn Lin3Min-Chuan Hsiao4Department of Green Energy and Environmental Resources, Chang Jung Christian UniversityGreen Energy and Environment Research Laboratories, Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI)Green Energy and Environment Research Laboratories, Industrial Technology Research Institute (ITRI)Institute of Environmental Engineering and Management, National Taipei University of TechnologyDepartment of Green Energy and Environmental Resources, Chang Jung Christian UniversityAbstract Climate change has been proven to have adverse effects on human health and ecosystems, especially, the continuous increase in greenhouse gas emissions that are able to drive extreme weather events around the world. Besides greenhouse gas emissions and air pollution also have a mutual relationship. The PM2.5 concentration has been decreasing year by year, but the ozone concentration has been slowly increasing, indicating that ozone issues will be a focus of concern in Taiwan in the future. Therefore, this study focuses on air pollution and its health impacts on power generation on climate change scenario. The air quality in 2050 was estimated in this study by using the Long-range Energy Alternatives Planning System (LEAP) model and the Weather Research and Forecasting-Community Multiscale Air Quality Modeling (WRF-CMAQ) system. The future power plants’ emissions were calculated by historical inventory and the power generation from 2010 to 2016. The simulation results revealed the low-carbon path in the electricity industry can lead to some improvements in air quality and also the associated health benefits. This study demonstrates that implementing carbon reduction strategies in the power sector would lead to a slight increase in ozone concentration. In detail, the annual PM2.5 concentrations would decrease by 0.7 µg m–3 (4%) from BAU (Business As Usual) scenario, while the O3 concentrations would have an increase of 0.3 ppb (1%). The reduction of air pollution can prevent 1012 (374–2463) deaths, saving around 48.9 billion NTD in health monetary costs. In the short term, it is projected that there may be a decrease of 45 patients hospitalized due to respiratory diseases and 53 patients hospitalized due to cardiovascular diseases. Moreover, the reductions in the power sector are expected to have more significant impacts in densely populated areas due to their combination of industrial and residential zones.https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230268Low-carbon pathAir qualityHealth benefit
spellingShingle Hsin-Chih Lai
Shih-Ming Chung
Li-Ling Li
Wen-Yinn Lin
Min-Chuan Hsiao
Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan
Aerosol and Air Quality Research
Low-carbon path
Air quality
Health benefit
title Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan
title_full Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan
title_fullStr Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan
title_full_unstemmed Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan
title_short Analysis of Air Quality and Health Co-Benefits under Low Carbon Pathway in Taiwan
title_sort analysis of air quality and health co benefits under low carbon pathway in taiwan
topic Low-carbon path
Air quality
Health benefit
url https://doi.org/10.4209/aaqr.230268
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