A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system

Functional response estimation and population tracking in predator-prey systems are critical problems in ecology. In this paper we consider a stochastic predator-prey system with a Lotka-Volterra functional response and propose a particle filtering method for: (a) estimating the behavioral parameter...

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Main Authors: Laura Martín-Fernández, Gianni Gilioli, Ettore Lanzarone, Joaquín Míguez, Sara Pasquali, Fabrizio Ruggeri, Diego P. Ruiz
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: AIMS Press 2013-12-01
Series:Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
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Online Access:https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2014.11.573
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author Laura Martín-Fernández
Gianni Gilioli
Ettore Lanzarone
Joaquín Míguez
Sara Pasquali
Fabrizio Ruggeri
Diego P. Ruiz
author_facet Laura Martín-Fernández
Gianni Gilioli
Ettore Lanzarone
Joaquín Míguez
Sara Pasquali
Fabrizio Ruggeri
Diego P. Ruiz
author_sort Laura Martín-Fernández
collection DOAJ
description Functional response estimation and population tracking in predator-prey systems are critical problems in ecology. In this paper we consider a stochastic predator-prey system with a Lotka-Volterra functional response and propose a particle filtering method for: (a) estimating the behavioral parameter representing the rate of effective search per predator in the functional responseand (b) forecasting the population biomass using field data. In particular, the proposed technique combines a sequential Monte Carlo sampling scheme for tracking the time-varying biomass with the analytical integration of the unknown behavioral parameter. In order to assess the performance of the method, we show results for both synthetic and observed data collected in an acarine predator-prey system, namely the pest mite Tetranychus urticae and the predatory mite Phytoseiulus persimilis.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1551-0018
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publishDate 2013-12-01
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record_format Article
series Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
spelling doaj-art-7c5a9c6172c44a4eb2fb18d9d4068cc72025-01-24T02:28:12ZengAIMS PressMathematical Biosciences and Engineering1551-00182013-12-0111357359710.3934/mbe.2014.11.573A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey systemLaura Martín-Fernández0Gianni Gilioli1Ettore Lanzarone2Joaquín Míguez3Sara Pasquali4Fabrizio Ruggeri5Diego P. Ruiz6Departamento de Física Aplicada, Universidad de Granada, Avda. Fuentenueva s/n, 18071 GranadaDepartment of Molecular and Translational Medicine, University of Brescia, Viale Europa 11, 25125 BresciaCNR-IMATI, Via Bassini 15, 20133 MilanoDepartamento de Teoría de la Señal y Comunicaciones, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid, Avda. de la Universidad 30, 28911 Leganés, MadridCNR-IMATI, Via Bassini 15, 20133 MilanoCNR-IMATI, Via Bassini 15, 20133 MilanoDepartamento de Física Aplicada, Universidad de Granada, Avda. Fuentenueva s/n, 18071 GranadaFunctional response estimation and population tracking in predator-prey systems are critical problems in ecology. In this paper we consider a stochastic predator-prey system with a Lotka-Volterra functional response and propose a particle filtering method for: (a) estimating the behavioral parameter representing the rate of effective search per predator in the functional responseand (b) forecasting the population biomass using field data. In particular, the proposed technique combines a sequential Monte Carlo sampling scheme for tracking the time-varying biomass with the analytical integration of the unknown behavioral parameter. In order to assess the performance of the method, we show results for both synthetic and observed data collected in an acarine predator-prey system, namely the pest mite Tetranychus urticae and the predatory mite Phytoseiulus persimilis.https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2014.11.573state-space modelprey-predator systemparameter estimationrao-blackwellized particle filter.population tracking
spellingShingle Laura Martín-Fernández
Gianni Gilioli
Ettore Lanzarone
Joaquín Míguez
Sara Pasquali
Fabrizio Ruggeri
Diego P. Ruiz
A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system
Mathematical Biosciences and Engineering
state-space model
prey-predator system
parameter estimation
rao-blackwellized particle filter.
population tracking
title A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system
title_full A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system
title_fullStr A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system
title_full_unstemmed A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system
title_short A Rao-Blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator-prey system
title_sort rao blackwellized particle filter for joint parameter estimation and biomass tracking in a stochastic predator prey system
topic state-space model
prey-predator system
parameter estimation
rao-blackwellized particle filter.
population tracking
url https://www.aimspress.com/article/doi/10.3934/mbe.2014.11.573
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