Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions

Abstract Earthquakes break their general Poissonean behavior through two types of seismic bursts: swarms and mainshock‐aftershock sequences. The former is commonly thought to dominate in volcanic and geothermal regions, but aftershock production, including within swarms, is not well studied in volca...

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Main Authors: Ricardo Garza‐Giron, Emily E. Brodsky, Stephanie G. Prejean
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2018-02-01
Series:Geophysical Research Letters
Subjects:
Online Access:https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075738
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author Ricardo Garza‐Giron
Emily E. Brodsky
Stephanie G. Prejean
author_facet Ricardo Garza‐Giron
Emily E. Brodsky
Stephanie G. Prejean
author_sort Ricardo Garza‐Giron
collection DOAJ
description Abstract Earthquakes break their general Poissonean behavior through two types of seismic bursts: swarms and mainshock‐aftershock sequences. The former is commonly thought to dominate in volcanic and geothermal regions, but aftershock production, including within swarms, is not well studied in volcanic regions. Here we compare mainshock‐aftershock clustering in active volcanic regions in Japan to nearby nonvolcanic regions. We find that aftershock production is similar in both areas by two separate metrics: (1) Both volcanic and nonvolcanic regions have similar proportions of areas that cluster into mainshock‐aftershock sequences. (2) Volcanic areas with mainshock‐aftershock sequences have aftershock productivity at least as high as nonvolcanic regions. We also find that volcano‐tectonic events that are precursors to an eruption are more common at volcanoes without mainshock‐aftershock clusters than at volcanoes with well‐defined mainshock‐aftershock clusters. This last finding hints at a strategy to identify volcanic systems where cataloged earthquakes are good predictors of behavior.
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publishDate 2018-02-01
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series Geophysical Research Letters
spelling doaj-art-7bfaa8b5c162471e8cd968a4aefe09372025-08-20T01:51:44ZengWileyGeophysical Research Letters0094-82761944-80072018-02-014531370137810.1002/2017GL075738Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic RegionsRicardo Garza‐Giron0Emily E. Brodsky1Stephanie G. Prejean2Department of Earth and Planetary Sciences University of California Santa Cruz CA USADepartment of Earth and Planetary Sciences University of California Santa Cruz CA USAVolcano Science Center United States Geological Survey Anchorage AK USAAbstract Earthquakes break their general Poissonean behavior through two types of seismic bursts: swarms and mainshock‐aftershock sequences. The former is commonly thought to dominate in volcanic and geothermal regions, but aftershock production, including within swarms, is not well studied in volcanic regions. Here we compare mainshock‐aftershock clustering in active volcanic regions in Japan to nearby nonvolcanic regions. We find that aftershock production is similar in both areas by two separate metrics: (1) Both volcanic and nonvolcanic regions have similar proportions of areas that cluster into mainshock‐aftershock sequences. (2) Volcanic areas with mainshock‐aftershock sequences have aftershock productivity at least as high as nonvolcanic regions. We also find that volcano‐tectonic events that are precursors to an eruption are more common at volcanoes without mainshock‐aftershock clusters than at volcanoes with well‐defined mainshock‐aftershock clusters. This last finding hints at a strategy to identify volcanic systems where cataloged earthquakes are good predictors of behavior.https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075738aftershocksvolcano seismicityearthquakes
spellingShingle Ricardo Garza‐Giron
Emily E. Brodsky
Stephanie G. Prejean
Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions
Geophysical Research Letters
aftershocks
volcano seismicity
earthquakes
title Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions
title_full Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions
title_fullStr Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions
title_full_unstemmed Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions
title_short Mainshock‐Aftershock Clustering in Volcanic Regions
title_sort mainshock aftershock clustering in volcanic regions
topic aftershocks
volcano seismicity
earthquakes
url https://doi.org/10.1002/2017GL075738
work_keys_str_mv AT ricardogarzagiron mainshockaftershockclusteringinvolcanicregions
AT emilyebrodsky mainshockaftershockclusteringinvolcanicregions
AT stephaniegprejean mainshockaftershockclusteringinvolcanicregions