Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy

Energy efficiency potentially reduces global carbon emissions, whereas the need of emerging countries to maintain economic growth and development entails a sharp increase in energy consumption. However, to meet this, current energy systems need to be transformed. Several studies find different concl...

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Main Authors: Enock Gava, Molepa Seabela, Kanayo Ogujiuba
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: MDPI AG 2025-04-01
Series:Economies
Subjects:
Online Access:https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/5/118
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author Enock Gava
Molepa Seabela
Kanayo Ogujiuba
author_facet Enock Gava
Molepa Seabela
Kanayo Ogujiuba
author_sort Enock Gava
collection DOAJ
description Energy efficiency potentially reduces global carbon emissions, whereas the need of emerging countries to maintain economic growth and development entails a sharp increase in energy consumption. However, to meet this, current energy systems need to be transformed. Several studies find different conclusions on the short-run and long-run relationship and the direction of causality, and none of the studies have considered energy efficiency in their model. This study investigates the direction of causality between energy efficiency, energy consumption, and economic growth in South Africa. To determine if a long-run relationship between the variables exists, the Johanson cointegration test is used, and the results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between economic growth, energy depletion, energy efficiency, non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption, and energy security, with trace statistics suggesting that the null hypothesis of no cointegration should be rejected at a 5% level of significance. The Toda and Yamamoto procedure of the Granger causality approach was then applied. This study finds a unidirectional causality between energy efficiency, non-renewable energy consumption, and economic growth and no causality between renewable energy consumption, energy depletion, energy security, and economic growth. The growth hypothesis is supported, while the neutrality hypothesis is only confirmed regarding renewable energy consumption and economic growth. The results further suggest that a unidirectional Granger causality exists between non-renewable consumption and energy efficiency, and economic growth in South Africa. In South Africa, energy efficiency is a significant tool to enhance sustainable growth and attain climate objectives. Also, energy efficiency helps to lower the costs of mitigating carbon emissions and further advance both social and economic development.
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spelling doaj-art-7bcd3a8f537c4be3800fe0c32f51ae392025-08-20T01:56:16ZengMDPI AGEconomies2227-70992025-04-0113511810.3390/economies13050118Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African EconomyEnock Gava0Molepa Seabela1Kanayo Ogujiuba2Centre for Entrepreneurship Rapid Incubator, University of Mpumalanga, Nelspruit I200, South AfricaCentre for Entrepreneurship Rapid Incubator, University of Mpumalanga, Nelspruit I200, South AfricaCentre for Entrepreneurship Rapid Incubator, University of Mpumalanga, Nelspruit I200, South AfricaEnergy efficiency potentially reduces global carbon emissions, whereas the need of emerging countries to maintain economic growth and development entails a sharp increase in energy consumption. However, to meet this, current energy systems need to be transformed. Several studies find different conclusions on the short-run and long-run relationship and the direction of causality, and none of the studies have considered energy efficiency in their model. This study investigates the direction of causality between energy efficiency, energy consumption, and economic growth in South Africa. To determine if a long-run relationship between the variables exists, the Johanson cointegration test is used, and the results indicate that there is a long-run relationship between economic growth, energy depletion, energy efficiency, non-renewable energy consumption, renewable energy consumption, and energy security, with trace statistics suggesting that the null hypothesis of no cointegration should be rejected at a 5% level of significance. The Toda and Yamamoto procedure of the Granger causality approach was then applied. This study finds a unidirectional causality between energy efficiency, non-renewable energy consumption, and economic growth and no causality between renewable energy consumption, energy depletion, energy security, and economic growth. The growth hypothesis is supported, while the neutrality hypothesis is only confirmed regarding renewable energy consumption and economic growth. The results further suggest that a unidirectional Granger causality exists between non-renewable consumption and energy efficiency, and economic growth in South Africa. In South Africa, energy efficiency is a significant tool to enhance sustainable growth and attain climate objectives. Also, energy efficiency helps to lower the costs of mitigating carbon emissions and further advance both social and economic development.https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/5/118economicenergyconsumptiongrowth
spellingShingle Enock Gava
Molepa Seabela
Kanayo Ogujiuba
Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy
Economies
economic
energy
consumption
growth
title Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy
title_full Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy
title_fullStr Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy
title_full_unstemmed Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy
title_short Energy Efficiency, Consumption, and Economic Growth: A Causal Analysis in the South African Economy
title_sort energy efficiency consumption and economic growth a causal analysis in the south african economy
topic economic
energy
consumption
growth
url https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/13/5/118
work_keys_str_mv AT enockgava energyefficiencyconsumptionandeconomicgrowthacausalanalysisinthesouthafricaneconomy
AT molepaseabela energyefficiencyconsumptionandeconomicgrowthacausalanalysisinthesouthafricaneconomy
AT kanayoogujiuba energyefficiencyconsumptionandeconomicgrowthacausalanalysisinthesouthafricaneconomy