Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India
This study investigates the anomalous surge in early summer Land Surface Temperature (LST) in India and its potential repercussions on various sectors, such as food security, energy resources, and public health. The research also assesses the implications of the accomplishment of the Sustainable Dev...
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| Format: | Article |
| Language: | English |
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Elsevier
2025-09-01
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| Series: | Ecological Informatics |
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| Online Access: | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1574954125001657 |
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| author | Susanta Mahato Swades Pal P.K. Joshi Andreas Matzarakis Paolo Tarolli Vicky Anand |
| author_facet | Susanta Mahato Swades Pal P.K. Joshi Andreas Matzarakis Paolo Tarolli Vicky Anand |
| author_sort | Susanta Mahato |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | This study investigates the anomalous surge in early summer Land Surface Temperature (LST) in India and its potential repercussions on various sectors, such as food security, energy resources, and public health. The research also assesses the implications of the accomplishment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) throughout the early summer. Analyzing data from 2001 to 2022, the findings reveal that early summer LST was notably increased, with daytime temperatures exceeding mean LST by 3.5–4.14 °C and nighttime temperatures by 0.83 to 2.41 °C. Anomalous positive Standard Anomaly (StA) deviations were prevalent in north-west, central northeast, west-central, and hilly regions during the day. Trend analysis indicated varying StA responses across six homogeneous monsoon regions, with an overall positive trend observed in most areas. Surprisingly, Sea Surface Temperature (SST), which typically influences summer heating, was not the primary driver in 2022. Instead, a prolonged rain deficit in significant parts of India was identified as the cause. Regression analysis between StA and crop yields showed statistically insignificant associations for most production regions, except for a detrimental impact on winter crop yields. Energy deficits of up to 15 % were recorded in heat-affected states. The study also considered potential health issues arising from summer warming. These cumulative effects pose significant challenges to India's economic growth. The study assesses mitigation strategies discussed at the COP27 summit to address early summer warming. The findings provide valuable insights for developing preparedness and resilience plans to mitigate these issues. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-7a542dc1842846b8b78beca63ab83b8a |
| institution | OA Journals |
| issn | 1574-9541 |
| language | English |
| publishDate | 2025-09-01 |
| publisher | Elsevier |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ecological Informatics |
| spelling | doaj-art-7a542dc1842846b8b78beca63ab83b8a2025-08-20T02:13:07ZengElsevierEcological Informatics1574-95412025-09-018810315610.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103156Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in IndiaSusanta Mahato0Swades Pal1P.K. Joshi2Andreas Matzarakis3Paolo Tarolli4Vicky Anand5Department of General and Applied Geography, School of Applied Sciences, Dr. Harisingh Gour Vishwavidyalaya, Sagar 470003, Madhya Pradesh, IndiaDepartment of Geography, University of Gour Banga, Malda, West Bengal 732 103, India; Corresponding authors.Special Centre for Disaster Research, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi 110 067, India; School of Environmental Sciences, Jawaharlal Nehru University, New Delhi 110 067, IndiaChair of Environmental Meteorology, Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Werthmannstrasse 10, D-79085 Freiburg, GermanyDepartment of Land, Environment, Agriculture and Forestry, University of Padova, Agripolis, Viale dell'Università 16, 35020 Legnaro, PD, ItalyInstitute of Water and Environmental System Modeling, University of Stuttgart, Germany; Corresponding authors.This study investigates the anomalous surge in early summer Land Surface Temperature (LST) in India and its potential repercussions on various sectors, such as food security, energy resources, and public health. The research also assesses the implications of the accomplishment of the Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) throughout the early summer. Analyzing data from 2001 to 2022, the findings reveal that early summer LST was notably increased, with daytime temperatures exceeding mean LST by 3.5–4.14 °C and nighttime temperatures by 0.83 to 2.41 °C. Anomalous positive Standard Anomaly (StA) deviations were prevalent in north-west, central northeast, west-central, and hilly regions during the day. Trend analysis indicated varying StA responses across six homogeneous monsoon regions, with an overall positive trend observed in most areas. Surprisingly, Sea Surface Temperature (SST), which typically influences summer heating, was not the primary driver in 2022. Instead, a prolonged rain deficit in significant parts of India was identified as the cause. Regression analysis between StA and crop yields showed statistically insignificant associations for most production regions, except for a detrimental impact on winter crop yields. Energy deficits of up to 15 % were recorded in heat-affected states. The study also considered potential health issues arising from summer warming. These cumulative effects pose significant challenges to India's economic growth. The study assesses mitigation strategies discussed at the COP27 summit to address early summer warming. The findings provide valuable insights for developing preparedness and resilience plans to mitigate these issues.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1574954125001657Early temperature riseHeatwavesStandard anomaly of temperatureCOP27Food securityEnergy security |
| spellingShingle | Susanta Mahato Swades Pal P.K. Joshi Andreas Matzarakis Paolo Tarolli Vicky Anand Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India Ecological Informatics Early temperature rise Heatwaves Standard anomaly of temperature COP27 Food security Energy security |
| title | Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India |
| title_full | Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India |
| title_fullStr | Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India |
| title_full_unstemmed | Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India |
| title_short | Early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals (SDGs) in India |
| title_sort | early summer warming amplification threats towards sustainable development goals sdgs in india |
| topic | Early temperature rise Heatwaves Standard anomaly of temperature COP27 Food security Energy security |
| url | http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1574954125001657 |
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