Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study

Objectives Two objectives were set for this study. The first was to identify factors influencing prolonged postoperative length of stay (LOS) following cardiac surgery. The second was to devise a predictive model for prolonged LOS in the cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) based on preoperative facto...

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Main Authors: Paul Aylin, Ahmed Almashrafi, Hilal Alsabti, Mirdavron Mukaddirov, Baskaran Balan
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: BMJ Publishing Group 2016-06-01
Series:BMJ Open
Online Access:https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/6/6/e010764.full
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author Paul Aylin
Ahmed Almashrafi
Hilal Alsabti
Mirdavron Mukaddirov
Baskaran Balan
author_facet Paul Aylin
Ahmed Almashrafi
Hilal Alsabti
Mirdavron Mukaddirov
Baskaran Balan
author_sort Paul Aylin
collection DOAJ
description Objectives Two objectives were set for this study. The first was to identify factors influencing prolonged postoperative length of stay (LOS) following cardiac surgery. The second was to devise a predictive model for prolonged LOS in the cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) based on preoperative factors available at admission and to compare it against two existing cardiac stratification systems.Design Observational retrospective study.Settings A tertiary hospital in Oman.Participants All adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery at a major referral hospital in Oman between 2009 and 2013.Results 30.5% of the patients had prolonged LOS (≥11 days) after surgery, while 17% experienced prolonged ICU LOS (≥5 days). Factors that were identified to prolong CICU LOS were non-elective surgery, current congestive heart failure (CHF), renal failure, combined coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and valve surgery, and other non-isolated valve or CABG surgery. Patients were divided into three groups based on their scores. The probabilities of prolonged CICU LOS were 11%, 26% and 28% for group 1, 2 and 3, respectively. The predictive model had an area under the curve of 0.75. Factors associated with prolonged overall postoperative LOS included the body mass index, the type of surgery, cardiopulmonary bypass machine use, packed red blood cells use, non-elective surgery and number of complications. The latter was the most important determinant of postoperative LOS.Conclusions Patient management can be tailored for individual patient based on their treatments and personal attributes to optimise resource allocation. Moreover, a simple predictive score system to enable identification of patients at risk of prolonged CICU stay can be developed using data that are routinely collected by most hospitals.
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spelling doaj-art-7a3dc6e7667146288530d31418312e4b2025-02-11T22:30:09ZengBMJ Publishing GroupBMJ Open2044-60552016-06-016610.1136/bmjopen-2015-010764Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational studyPaul Aylin0Ahmed Almashrafi1Hilal Alsabti2Mirdavron Mukaddirov3Baskaran Balan4Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK1Department of Primary Care and Public Health, School of Public Health, Imperial College London, London, UK2Cardiothoracic Surgery Division, Department of Surgery, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman2Cardiothoracic Surgery Division, Department of Surgery, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, Oman2Cardiothoracic Surgery Division, Department of Surgery, Sultan Qaboos University Hospital, Muscat, OmanObjectives Two objectives were set for this study. The first was to identify factors influencing prolonged postoperative length of stay (LOS) following cardiac surgery. The second was to devise a predictive model for prolonged LOS in the cardiac intensive care unit (CICU) based on preoperative factors available at admission and to compare it against two existing cardiac stratification systems.Design Observational retrospective study.Settings A tertiary hospital in Oman.Participants All adult patients who underwent cardiac surgery at a major referral hospital in Oman between 2009 and 2013.Results 30.5% of the patients had prolonged LOS (≥11 days) after surgery, while 17% experienced prolonged ICU LOS (≥5 days). Factors that were identified to prolong CICU LOS were non-elective surgery, current congestive heart failure (CHF), renal failure, combined coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) and valve surgery, and other non-isolated valve or CABG surgery. Patients were divided into three groups based on their scores. The probabilities of prolonged CICU LOS were 11%, 26% and 28% for group 1, 2 and 3, respectively. The predictive model had an area under the curve of 0.75. Factors associated with prolonged overall postoperative LOS included the body mass index, the type of surgery, cardiopulmonary bypass machine use, packed red blood cells use, non-elective surgery and number of complications. The latter was the most important determinant of postoperative LOS.Conclusions Patient management can be tailored for individual patient based on their treatments and personal attributes to optimise resource allocation. Moreover, a simple predictive score system to enable identification of patients at risk of prolonged CICU stay can be developed using data that are routinely collected by most hospitals.https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/6/6/e010764.full
spellingShingle Paul Aylin
Ahmed Almashrafi
Hilal Alsabti
Mirdavron Mukaddirov
Baskaran Balan
Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study
BMJ Open
title Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study
title_full Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study
title_fullStr Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study
title_full_unstemmed Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study
title_short Factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in Oman: a retrospective observational study
title_sort factors associated with prolonged length of stay following cardiac surgery in a major referral hospital in oman a retrospective observational study
url https://bmjopen.bmj.com/content/6/6/e010764.full
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