Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends

Against the backdrop of recent global house price inflation, this paper addresses the question commonly asked about asset price booms and crises: ‘Is this time different?’ To identify the distinctive characteristics of today’s house price booms, we examined the long-term history of housing pric...

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Main Authors: Dasom Hong, Danny Dorling
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences 2025-06-01
Series:Critical Housing Analysis
Online Access:https://www.housing-critical.com/home-page-1/very-long-term-international-housing-price-tren
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author Dasom Hong
Danny Dorling
author_facet Dasom Hong
Danny Dorling
author_sort Dasom Hong
collection DOAJ
description Against the backdrop of recent global house price inflation, this paper addresses the question commonly asked about asset price booms and crises: ‘Is this time different?’ To identify the distinctive characteristics of today’s house price booms, we examined the long-term history of housing prices in five capital cities: Amsterdam, London, Beijing, Seoul, and Tokyo. Specifically, we employed house price, annual income, and average expenditure data to estimate real house price indices from the 1620s to the 2020s. The findings indicate that recent house price inflation is distinct not in severity but in synchronicity. The amplitude of house price booms and busts has remained consistent. However, house price cycles that historically moved independently have, in recent decades, more often shown similar variations both regionally and internationally. Now, prices tend to rise and fall together, but do not rise above the historical peaks of the past.
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institution Kabale University
issn 2336-2839
language English
publishDate 2025-06-01
publisher Institute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of Sciences
record_format Article
series Critical Housing Analysis
spelling doaj-art-79d89372ba7e47eca0a1c174ce2d8da42025-08-20T03:40:51ZengInstitute of Sociology of the Czech Academy of SciencesCritical Housing Analysis2336-28392025-06-01121374610.13060/23362839.2025.12.1.585Very Long-Term International Housing Price TrendsDasom Honghttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-3164-6675Danny Dorlinghttps://orcid.org/0000-0001-9519-0537 Against the backdrop of recent global house price inflation, this paper addresses the question commonly asked about asset price booms and crises: ‘Is this time different?’ To identify the distinctive characteristics of today’s house price booms, we examined the long-term history of housing prices in five capital cities: Amsterdam, London, Beijing, Seoul, and Tokyo. Specifically, we employed house price, annual income, and average expenditure data to estimate real house price indices from the 1620s to the 2020s. The findings indicate that recent house price inflation is distinct not in severity but in synchronicity. The amplitude of house price booms and busts has remained consistent. However, house price cycles that historically moved independently have, in recent decades, more often shown similar variations both regionally and internationally. Now, prices tend to rise and fall together, but do not rise above the historical peaks of the past.https://www.housing-critical.com/home-page-1/very-long-term-international-housing-price-tren
spellingShingle Dasom Hong
Danny Dorling
Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
Critical Housing Analysis
title Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
title_full Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
title_fullStr Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
title_full_unstemmed Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
title_short Very Long-Term International Housing Price Trends
title_sort very long term international housing price trends
url https://www.housing-critical.com/home-page-1/very-long-term-international-housing-price-tren
work_keys_str_mv AT dasomhong verylongterminternationalhousingpricetrends
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