Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale

Summary: Decarbonization urgently calls for a substantial replacement of coal-fired power with carbon-free energy in the global energy landscape. However, the prevailing substitution of coal with variable renewable energy cannot be implemented universally due to possible higher cost and lack of powe...

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Main Authors: Rui Jing, Xiaotong Wu, Tingwei Weng, Staffan Qvist, Łukasz Bartela, Jeong Ik Lee, Ning Li, Jianzhong Wu, Nilay Shah, Yingru Zhao, Yaoli Zhang
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Elsevier 2025-09-01
Series:Nexus
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Online Access:http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2950160125000312
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author Rui Jing
Xiaotong Wu
Tingwei Weng
Staffan Qvist
Łukasz Bartela
Jeong Ik Lee
Ning Li
Jianzhong Wu
Nilay Shah
Yingru Zhao
Yaoli Zhang
author_facet Rui Jing
Xiaotong Wu
Tingwei Weng
Staffan Qvist
Łukasz Bartela
Jeong Ik Lee
Ning Li
Jianzhong Wu
Nilay Shah
Yingru Zhao
Yaoli Zhang
author_sort Rui Jing
collection DOAJ
description Summary: Decarbonization urgently calls for a substantial replacement of coal-fired power with carbon-free energy in the global energy landscape. However, the prevailing substitution of coal with variable renewable energy cannot be implemented universally due to possible higher cost and lack of power system flexibility. What is more, well-trained coal-fired power workers and surrounding communities are facing challenges. Therefore, we emphasize the unique value of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) in the energy transition by investigating 9,470 coal-fired power units globally. We identified that 14.3% (i.e., 371.6 GW) of them can be prioritized for C2N. The currently available nuclear technologies are feasible for C2N in three ways. A competitive levelized cost of electricity of US$71.84– US$101.48/MWh could be a strong driver when compared to coal+carbon capture and storage. Overall, C2N offers multifaceted benefits, and it can be a good supplement to the prevailing solar and wind renewables. Broader context: In this analysis, we aim to draw more attention to the game-changing idea of C2N to address the grand challenge of phasing out coal in the energy industry by “simply” replacing coal-fired burners with nuclear-powered burners and repurposing the infrastructure. We first summarized three major methods of C2N, i.e., replace-only-boilers, repurpose-from-brownfield, and return-to-greenfield, capturing detailed coal and nuclear technology compatibility data. Second, we investigated all coal-fired power units globally (2,600 GW) and identified that 14.3% of them are suitable C2N pioneers based on their age and proximity to major water sources. Interestingly, C2N indicates a competitive levelized cost of electricity of US$71.84– US$101.48/MWh, which could be even cheaper than that of the coal+carbon capture and storage solution. Developing C2N and solar wind renewables is not contradictory. Instead, C2N can be a well-balanced solution for the high penetration of weather-dependent renewables. Finally, since the whole process of C2N transition is a decade long, many regulation-related and technical challenges exist, and we need to plan and act now.
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spelling doaj-art-798f2857bb9b430ea381b278cbcf05692025-08-20T03:45:11ZengElsevierNexus2950-16012025-09-012310008410.1016/j.ynexs.2025.100084Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scaleRui Jing0Xiaotong Wu1Tingwei Weng2Staffan Qvist3Łukasz Bartela4Jeong Ik Lee5Ning Li6Jianzhong Wu7Nilay Shah8Yingru Zhao9Yaoli Zhang10College of Energy, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China; Shenzhen Research Institute of Xiamen University, Shenzhen 518000, ChinaCollege of Energy, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, ChinaCollege of Energy, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China; China Power Engineering Consulting Group, Beijing 100020, ChinaQuantifiedCarbon Ltd., Maidenhead SL6 8EW, UKDepartment of Power Engineering and Turbomachinery, Silesian University of Technology, Konarskiego 18, 44-100 Gliwice, PolandDepartment of Nuclear & Quantum Engineering, KAIST, Daejeon 34141, KoreaCollege of Energy, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, ChinaSchool of Engineering, Cardiff University, Cardiff CF24 3AA, UKDepartment of Chemical Engineering, Imperial College London, London SW7 2AZ, UKCollege of Energy, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China; Corresponding author ▪▪▪College of Energy, Xiamen University, Xiamen 361005, China; Corresponding authorSummary: Decarbonization urgently calls for a substantial replacement of coal-fired power with carbon-free energy in the global energy landscape. However, the prevailing substitution of coal with variable renewable energy cannot be implemented universally due to possible higher cost and lack of power system flexibility. What is more, well-trained coal-fired power workers and surrounding communities are facing challenges. Therefore, we emphasize the unique value of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) in the energy transition by investigating 9,470 coal-fired power units globally. We identified that 14.3% (i.e., 371.6 GW) of them can be prioritized for C2N. The currently available nuclear technologies are feasible for C2N in three ways. A competitive levelized cost of electricity of US$71.84– US$101.48/MWh could be a strong driver when compared to coal+carbon capture and storage. Overall, C2N offers multifaceted benefits, and it can be a good supplement to the prevailing solar and wind renewables. Broader context: In this analysis, we aim to draw more attention to the game-changing idea of C2N to address the grand challenge of phasing out coal in the energy industry by “simply” replacing coal-fired burners with nuclear-powered burners and repurposing the infrastructure. We first summarized three major methods of C2N, i.e., replace-only-boilers, repurpose-from-brownfield, and return-to-greenfield, capturing detailed coal and nuclear technology compatibility data. Second, we investigated all coal-fired power units globally (2,600 GW) and identified that 14.3% of them are suitable C2N pioneers based on their age and proximity to major water sources. Interestingly, C2N indicates a competitive levelized cost of electricity of US$71.84– US$101.48/MWh, which could be even cheaper than that of the coal+carbon capture and storage solution. Developing C2N and solar wind renewables is not contradictory. Instead, C2N can be a well-balanced solution for the high penetration of weather-dependent renewables. Finally, since the whole process of C2N transition is a decade long, many regulation-related and technical challenges exist, and we need to plan and act now.http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2950160125000312coal-to-nuclearpotential assessmentrenewable energy sourcelevelized cost of electricityLCOEenergy system decarbonization
spellingShingle Rui Jing
Xiaotong Wu
Tingwei Weng
Staffan Qvist
Łukasz Bartela
Jeong Ik Lee
Ning Li
Jianzhong Wu
Nilay Shah
Yingru Zhao
Yaoli Zhang
Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale
Nexus
coal-to-nuclear
potential assessment
renewable energy source
levelized cost of electricity
LCOE
energy system decarbonization
title Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale
title_full Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale
title_fullStr Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale
title_full_unstemmed Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale
title_short Uncovering the technical potential of coal-to-nuclear (C2N) power generation on a global scale
title_sort uncovering the technical potential of coal to nuclear c2n power generation on a global scale
topic coal-to-nuclear
potential assessment
renewable energy source
levelized cost of electricity
LCOE
energy system decarbonization
url http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2950160125000312
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