Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021
The article is devoted to the current internal political situation in Nicaragua. The author analyzes the reasons for the acute socio-political crisis that arose in April 2018, presenting a detailed analysis of a historical background of these events. The author notes that a regime of personal power...
Saved in:
| Main Author: | |
|---|---|
| Format: | Article |
| Language: | Russian |
| Published: |
Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO)
2021-11-01
|
| Series: | Ибероамериканские тетради |
| Subjects: | |
| Online Access: | https://www.iberpapers.org/jour/article/view/437 |
| Tags: |
Add Tag
No Tags, Be the first to tag this record!
|
| _version_ | 1849403606038478848 |
|---|---|
| author | D. V. Morozov |
| author_facet | D. V. Morozov |
| author_sort | D. V. Morozov |
| collection | DOAJ |
| description | The article is devoted to the current internal political situation in Nicaragua. The author analyzes the reasons for the acute socio-political crisis that arose in April 2018, presenting a detailed analysis of a historical background of these events. The author notes that a regime of personal power of President Ortega has been established in the country, relying on bureaucracy and power structures, since it is them playing a key role in preserving Ortega as the country’s President. The paper assesses the alignment of political forces and the general political situation in the opposition camp. The author analyzes the reasons for a number of existing contradictions that plague the opposition bloc of Nicaragua. An analysis of political potential and electoral possibilities of the opposition forces is given. The author predicts a possible scenario for the development of events within the framework of internal political situation in connection with the upcoming elections to be held in November 2021. The author comes to conclusion that the regime of Ortega is weakening and losing its positions, but still retains a margin of safety, which allows him to remain in power. As one of the scenarios for the development of events, the author predicts the possibility of a ‘compromise figure’ coming to power, which, however, does not imply a change in the real balance of power and dominant political figures in state politics. |
| format | Article |
| id | doaj-art-7967b13b70f84cbfb89eb6c7174a3d41 |
| institution | Kabale University |
| issn | 2409-3416 2658-5219 |
| language | Russian |
| publishDate | 2021-11-01 |
| publisher | Moscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO) |
| record_format | Article |
| series | Ибероамериканские тетради |
| spelling | doaj-art-7967b13b70f84cbfb89eb6c7174a3d412025-08-20T03:37:12ZrusMoscow State Institute of International Relations (MGIMO)Ибероамериканские тетради2409-34162658-52192021-11-01918910110.46272/2409-3416-2021-9-1-89-101423Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021D. V. Morozov0Center for Political Research, ILA RASThe article is devoted to the current internal political situation in Nicaragua. The author analyzes the reasons for the acute socio-political crisis that arose in April 2018, presenting a detailed analysis of a historical background of these events. The author notes that a regime of personal power of President Ortega has been established in the country, relying on bureaucracy and power structures, since it is them playing a key role in preserving Ortega as the country’s President. The paper assesses the alignment of political forces and the general political situation in the opposition camp. The author analyzes the reasons for a number of existing contradictions that plague the opposition bloc of Nicaragua. An analysis of political potential and electoral possibilities of the opposition forces is given. The author predicts a possible scenario for the development of events within the framework of internal political situation in connection with the upcoming elections to be held in November 2021. The author comes to conclusion that the regime of Ortega is weakening and losing its positions, but still retains a margin of safety, which allows him to remain in power. As one of the scenarios for the development of events, the author predicts the possibility of a ‘compromise figure’ coming to power, which, however, does not imply a change in the real balance of power and dominant political figures in state politics.https://www.iberpapers.org/jour/article/view/437nicaraguadaniel ortegapolitical regimeoppositionmediaelectionssocio-political crisis |
| spellingShingle | D. V. Morozov Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021 Ибероамериканские тетради nicaragua daniel ortega political regime opposition media elections socio-political crisis |
| title | Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021 |
| title_full | Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021 |
| title_fullStr | Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021 |
| title_full_unstemmed | Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021 |
| title_short | Nicaragua: power crisis and elections in 2021 |
| title_sort | nicaragua power crisis and elections in 2021 |
| topic | nicaragua daniel ortega political regime opposition media elections socio-political crisis |
| url | https://www.iberpapers.org/jour/article/view/437 |
| work_keys_str_mv | AT dvmorozov nicaraguapowercrisisandelectionsin2021 |