Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage

This study aims to use the Support Vector Machine (SVM) model to predict the breakthrough pressure of mudstone. By collecting data on porosity, permeability, specific surface area, and maximum throat radius from 55 sets of mudstone samples, using them as input factors and breakthrough pressure of mu...

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Main Authors: Lin Jianhong, Ma Yongjie, Zhang Yu
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: EDP Sciences 2025-01-01
Series:E3S Web of Conferences
Online Access:https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/28/e3sconf_eppct2025_01018.pdf
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author Lin Jianhong
Ma Yongjie
Zhang Yu
author_facet Lin Jianhong
Ma Yongjie
Zhang Yu
author_sort Lin Jianhong
collection DOAJ
description This study aims to use the Support Vector Machine (SVM) model to predict the breakthrough pressure of mudstone. By collecting data on porosity, permeability, specific surface area, and maximum throat radius from 55 sets of mudstone samples, using them as input factors and breakthrough pressure of mudstone as output factors, an SVM model was constructed and trained. The research results show that the established SVM model has high prediction accuracy and good generalization ability, and can accurately predict the breakthrough pressure of mudstone. Grid search and analysis of the penalty parameter C and kernel parameter γ in the SVM model revealed the existence of specific optimal parameter combinations that can improve model performance. This study provides an effective method for predicting the breakthrough pressure of mudstone, and also provides a scientific basis for a deeper understanding of mudstone permeability and its application in CO2 geological storage.
format Article
id doaj-art-78fdaf244d984db28f651eea70a885a4
institution OA Journals
issn 2267-1242
language English
publishDate 2025-01-01
publisher EDP Sciences
record_format Article
series E3S Web of Conferences
spelling doaj-art-78fdaf244d984db28f651eea70a885a42025-08-20T02:26:09ZengEDP SciencesE3S Web of Conferences2267-12422025-01-016280101810.1051/e3sconf/202562801018e3sconf_eppct2025_01018Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological StorageLin Jianhong0Ma Yongjie1Zhang Yu2China Water Northeastern Investigation, Design and Research Co., Ltd.Zhejiang Huadong Geotechnical Investigation & Design Institute CO., LTDSchool of Mechanics and Civil Engineering, China University of Mining and TechnologyThis study aims to use the Support Vector Machine (SVM) model to predict the breakthrough pressure of mudstone. By collecting data on porosity, permeability, specific surface area, and maximum throat radius from 55 sets of mudstone samples, using them as input factors and breakthrough pressure of mudstone as output factors, an SVM model was constructed and trained. The research results show that the established SVM model has high prediction accuracy and good generalization ability, and can accurately predict the breakthrough pressure of mudstone. Grid search and analysis of the penalty parameter C and kernel parameter γ in the SVM model revealed the existence of specific optimal parameter combinations that can improve model performance. This study provides an effective method for predicting the breakthrough pressure of mudstone, and also provides a scientific basis for a deeper understanding of mudstone permeability and its application in CO2 geological storage.https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/28/e3sconf_eppct2025_01018.pdf
spellingShingle Lin Jianhong
Ma Yongjie
Zhang Yu
Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage
E3S Web of Conferences
title Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage
title_full Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage
title_fullStr Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage
title_full_unstemmed Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage
title_short Research on Prediction of Mudstone Breakthrough Pressure Based on Support Vector Machine in CO2 Geological Storage
title_sort research on prediction of mudstone breakthrough pressure based on support vector machine in co2 geological storage
url https://www.e3s-conferences.org/articles/e3sconf/pdf/2025/28/e3sconf_eppct2025_01018.pdf
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AT mayongjie researchonpredictionofmudstonebreakthroughpressurebasedonsupportvectormachineinco2geologicalstorage
AT zhangyu researchonpredictionofmudstonebreakthroughpressurebasedonsupportvectormachineinco2geologicalstorage