Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis

The study examines the characteristics and variability of monsoon rainfall in Myanmar, focusing on the relationship between heavy rainfall, floods, and earthquakes, which impact agriculture, hydrology, and the environment. Generally, heavy rainfall can cause flooding, economic losses, and water tabl...

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Main Authors: Kyaw Than Oo, Chen Haishan, Kazora Jonah
Format: Article
Language:English
Published: Wiley 2023-01-01
Series:International Journal of Geophysics
Online Access:http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/2186857
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author Kyaw Than Oo
Chen Haishan
Kazora Jonah
author_facet Kyaw Than Oo
Chen Haishan
Kazora Jonah
author_sort Kyaw Than Oo
collection DOAJ
description The study examines the characteristics and variability of monsoon rainfall in Myanmar, focusing on the relationship between heavy rainfall, floods, and earthquakes, which impact agriculture, hydrology, and the environment. Generally, heavy rainfall can cause flooding, economic losses, and water table changes. Northern Myanmar floods occur mainly during the monsoon season from June to October and can be classified into widespread floods along major rivers like Ayeyarwady, Thanlwin, Chindwin, and Sittoung and flash floods in small streams and rivers. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall, which can trigger floods or landslides, which also can in turn cause earthquakes. Heavy rainfall over northern Myanmar and the Sagaing faults, which are the main triggers of earthquakes, has been the subject of several studies. The study uses the Copernicus 5 database of global climate model (GCM) simulations with two scenario analyses on climate change detection and indices (ETCCDI) to study changes in climatic extremes. Results show high intensity in the northern region and monsoon core regions, while the central region shows less intensity. The study also uses intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves to analyze the relationship between rainfall duration, intensity, and return time in major risk zones. The study finds that as short duration lengthens, rainfall intensity increases for future rainfall patterns. This information is expected to be convenient for local authorities and flood protection projects in rural and urban basins.
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institution Kabale University
issn 1687-8868
language English
publishDate 2023-01-01
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series International Journal of Geophysics
spelling doaj-art-77f66506a3204a3ba9366746150846a72025-02-03T06:47:33ZengWileyInternational Journal of Geophysics1687-88682023-01-01202310.1155/2023/2186857Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall AnalysisKyaw Than Oo0Chen Haishan1Kazora Jonah2School of Atmospheric SciencesSchool of Atmospheric SciencesSchool of Atmospheric SciencesThe study examines the characteristics and variability of monsoon rainfall in Myanmar, focusing on the relationship between heavy rainfall, floods, and earthquakes, which impact agriculture, hydrology, and the environment. Generally, heavy rainfall can cause flooding, economic losses, and water table changes. Northern Myanmar floods occur mainly during the monsoon season from June to October and can be classified into widespread floods along major rivers like Ayeyarwady, Thanlwin, Chindwin, and Sittoung and flash floods in small streams and rivers. Climate change is expected to increase the frequency and intensity of extreme weather events, including heavy rainfall, which can trigger floods or landslides, which also can in turn cause earthquakes. Heavy rainfall over northern Myanmar and the Sagaing faults, which are the main triggers of earthquakes, has been the subject of several studies. The study uses the Copernicus 5 database of global climate model (GCM) simulations with two scenario analyses on climate change detection and indices (ETCCDI) to study changes in climatic extremes. Results show high intensity in the northern region and monsoon core regions, while the central region shows less intensity. The study also uses intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) curves to analyze the relationship between rainfall duration, intensity, and return time in major risk zones. The study finds that as short duration lengthens, rainfall intensity increases for future rainfall patterns. This information is expected to be convenient for local authorities and flood protection projects in rural and urban basins.http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/2186857
spellingShingle Kyaw Than Oo
Chen Haishan
Kazora Jonah
Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis
International Journal of Geophysics
title Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis
title_full Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis
title_fullStr Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis
title_full_unstemmed Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis
title_short Climate Change Impact on the Trigger of Natural Disasters over South-Eastern Himalayas Foothill Region of Myanmar: Extreme Rainfall Analysis
title_sort climate change impact on the trigger of natural disasters over south eastern himalayas foothill region of myanmar extreme rainfall analysis
url http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2023/2186857
work_keys_str_mv AT kyawthanoo climatechangeimpactonthetriggerofnaturaldisastersoversoutheasternhimalayasfoothillregionofmyanmarextremerainfallanalysis
AT chenhaishan climatechangeimpactonthetriggerofnaturaldisastersoversoutheasternhimalayasfoothillregionofmyanmarextremerainfallanalysis
AT kazorajonah climatechangeimpactonthetriggerofnaturaldisastersoversoutheasternhimalayasfoothillregionofmyanmarextremerainfallanalysis